Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model

Travel time variability (TTV) is the key indicator used in assessing the service quality of bus transit system. This study explores the most appropriate model to describe the day-to-day TTV of bus section. By investigating a 7-month travel time data for 10 bus routes in Klang Valley, Malaysia, this...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Victor Jian Ming Low, Hooi Ling Khoo, Wooi Chen Khoo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2022-09-01
Series:International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2046043021000599
_version_ 1797760551200227328
author Victor Jian Ming Low
Hooi Ling Khoo
Wooi Chen Khoo
author_facet Victor Jian Ming Low
Hooi Ling Khoo
Wooi Chen Khoo
author_sort Victor Jian Ming Low
collection DOAJ
description Travel time variability (TTV) is the key indicator used in assessing the service quality of bus transit system. This study explores the most appropriate model to describe the day-to-day TTV of bus section. By investigating a 7-month travel time data for 10 bus routes in Klang Valley, Malaysia, this study demonstrates that Burr distribution is the most promising model in describing bus TTV. Bus TTV is found to be sensitive to both temporal and spatial effect. This means that TTV service varies for weekdays and weekends (temporal). Also, it differs for the five operating environments (spatial) investigated in this study. The Burr regression analysis conducted in the second part of this study further confirmed that bus section length and traffic signal density are the major contributing factors to bus TTV. However, both factors have varying levels of impact under different spatiotemporal effect. For example, in the suburban and residential areas, these factors cause higher TTV on weekends but lesser during weekdays, while a vice versa impact is observed in the Central Business District. This distinguishes from earlier studies which purely assumed normality in the regression analysis while not emphasizing the importance of spatiotemporal factors on TTV. Thus, this study serves as an analysis tool that could be used in the planning of bus routes and schedules under varying bus operating environments and operation times.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T19:01:09Z
format Article
id doaj.art-4c79f11e8a104d13b419833f3e4f3c21
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2046-0430
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T19:01:09Z
publishDate 2022-09-01
publisher KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
record_format Article
series International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
spelling doaj.art-4c79f11e8a104d13b419833f3e4f3c212023-08-02T06:39:03ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology2046-04302022-09-01113563577Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution modelVictor Jian Ming Low0Hooi Ling Khoo1Wooi Chen Khoo2Lee Kong Chian Faculty of Engineering and Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, MalaysiaLee Kong Chian Faculty of Engineering and Science, Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia; Corresponding author.Dept. of Applied Statistics, Sunway University, Sunway City, 47500 Selangor Darul Ehsan, MalaysiaTravel time variability (TTV) is the key indicator used in assessing the service quality of bus transit system. This study explores the most appropriate model to describe the day-to-day TTV of bus section. By investigating a 7-month travel time data for 10 bus routes in Klang Valley, Malaysia, this study demonstrates that Burr distribution is the most promising model in describing bus TTV. Bus TTV is found to be sensitive to both temporal and spatial effect. This means that TTV service varies for weekdays and weekends (temporal). Also, it differs for the five operating environments (spatial) investigated in this study. The Burr regression analysis conducted in the second part of this study further confirmed that bus section length and traffic signal density are the major contributing factors to bus TTV. However, both factors have varying levels of impact under different spatiotemporal effect. For example, in the suburban and residential areas, these factors cause higher TTV on weekends but lesser during weekdays, while a vice versa impact is observed in the Central Business District. This distinguishes from earlier studies which purely assumed normality in the regression analysis while not emphasizing the importance of spatiotemporal factors on TTV. Thus, this study serves as an analysis tool that could be used in the planning of bus routes and schedules under varying bus operating environments and operation times.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2046043021000599Travel time variabilityBus transit systemBurr regressionBus travel timeReliability
spellingShingle Victor Jian Ming Low
Hooi Ling Khoo
Wooi Chen Khoo
Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
Travel time variability
Bus transit system
Burr regression
Bus travel time
Reliability
title Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model
title_full Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model
title_fullStr Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model
title_short Quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using Burr distribution model
title_sort quantifying bus travel time variability and identifying spatial and temporal factors using burr distribution model
topic Travel time variability
Bus transit system
Burr regression
Bus travel time
Reliability
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2046043021000599
work_keys_str_mv AT victorjianminglow quantifyingbustraveltimevariabilityandidentifyingspatialandtemporalfactorsusingburrdistributionmodel
AT hooilingkhoo quantifyingbustraveltimevariabilityandidentifyingspatialandtemporalfactorsusingburrdistributionmodel
AT wooichenkhoo quantifyingbustraveltimevariabilityandidentifyingspatialandtemporalfactorsusingburrdistributionmodel