Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study

Abstract In this paper, a dynamic compartmental model is constructed for the transmission of HIV/AIDS receiving drug treatment and knowledge from effective awareness programs through media. Using stability theory of differential equations the model is analyzed qualitatively. The equilibrium points i...

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Main Authors: Priti Kumar Roy, Shubhankar Saha
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2018-12-01
Series:Advances in Difference Equations
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13662-018-1877-3
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author Priti Kumar Roy
Shubhankar Saha
author_facet Priti Kumar Roy
Shubhankar Saha
author_sort Priti Kumar Roy
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In this paper, a dynamic compartmental model is constructed for the transmission of HIV/AIDS receiving drug treatment and knowledge from effective awareness programs through media. Using stability theory of differential equations the model is analyzed qualitatively. The equilibrium points in the local and global stability proof are found to be stable under certain conditions. Further, we use Pontryagin’s Minimum Principle in the time-dependent constant control case to derive necessary conditions for the optimal control of the disease. Sensitivity analysis is also performed to check the robustness of the model with respect to small changes in parametric values of the system. In order to predict the long term dynamics of the disease, projections are made. These studies reveal that HIV incidence could be substantially reduced by improving the test-and-treat strategy and implication of media awareness.
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spelling doaj.art-4c932fc7aff641d384e490f38a24c54c2022-12-22T03:15:37ZengSpringerOpenAdvances in Difference Equations1687-18472018-12-012018112010.1186/s13662-018-1877-3Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical studyPriti Kumar Roy0Shubhankar Saha1Department of Mathematics, Jadavpur UniversityDepartment of Mathematics, Jadavpur UniversityAbstract In this paper, a dynamic compartmental model is constructed for the transmission of HIV/AIDS receiving drug treatment and knowledge from effective awareness programs through media. Using stability theory of differential equations the model is analyzed qualitatively. The equilibrium points in the local and global stability proof are found to be stable under certain conditions. Further, we use Pontryagin’s Minimum Principle in the time-dependent constant control case to derive necessary conditions for the optimal control of the disease. Sensitivity analysis is also performed to check the robustness of the model with respect to small changes in parametric values of the system. In order to predict the long term dynamics of the disease, projections are made. These studies reveal that HIV incidence could be substantially reduced by improving the test-and-treat strategy and implication of media awareness.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13662-018-1877-3Epidemic modelHIVDrug-dosingAwareness programsBasic reproductive numberLocal & global stability
spellingShingle Priti Kumar Roy
Shubhankar Saha
Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study
Advances in Difference Equations
Epidemic model
HIV
Drug-dosing
Awareness programs
Basic reproductive number
Local & global stability
title Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study
title_full Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study
title_fullStr Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study
title_full_unstemmed Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study
title_short Predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with ‘HIV counseling & testing’ (HCT) on the spread of HIV/AIDS: a theoretical study
title_sort predicting the effectiveness of drug interventions with hiv counseling testing hct on the spread of hiv aids a theoretical study
topic Epidemic model
HIV
Drug-dosing
Awareness programs
Basic reproductive number
Local & global stability
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s13662-018-1877-3
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