Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics

This paper adopts a neoclassical framework to study the effect of age composition of the working-age population on labour productivity and its determinants, based on an unbalanced panel of 64 non-oil-producing countries, over the period 1950-2017. Our first contribution comes from testing whether a...

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Main Author: Milanez Ana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2020-09-01
Series:Naše Gospodarstvo
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2020-0013
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author Milanez Ana
author_facet Milanez Ana
author_sort Milanez Ana
collection DOAJ
description This paper adopts a neoclassical framework to study the effect of age composition of the working-age population on labour productivity and its determinants, based on an unbalanced panel of 64 non-oil-producing countries, over the period 1950-2017. Our first contribution comes from testing whether a shock in age structure has the ability to permanently shift labour productivity dynamics. From methodological standpoint, we try to reduce the risk of model mispecification in the existing literature, that has often overlooked the possibility of cross-sectional dependence in the data and heterogeneity in slope coefficients. We also note the importance of time series properties of the data for valid statistical inference. Our results indicate, that ageing of the working-age population depresses labour productivity growth; negative impact of individuals aged between 55 and 64 on total factor productivity growth is only partially offset by its positive impact on human and physical capital accumulation. For sustaining the current level of living standards, adoption of policies, which forestall the negative impact of older workers on innovation process and promote their positive impact on the supply of production factors, is of crucial importance. We do not find evidence, that higher public spending on education in% of GDP has such an effect.
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spelling doaj.art-4ca70b9963d34a06b82b0d42ec15e6662022-12-22T02:41:10ZengSciendoNaše Gospodarstvo2385-80522020-09-0166311310.2478/ngoe-2020-0013ngoe-2020-0013Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity DynamicsMilanez Ana0Ministry of Finance of the Republic of Slovenia, SloveniaThis paper adopts a neoclassical framework to study the effect of age composition of the working-age population on labour productivity and its determinants, based on an unbalanced panel of 64 non-oil-producing countries, over the period 1950-2017. Our first contribution comes from testing whether a shock in age structure has the ability to permanently shift labour productivity dynamics. From methodological standpoint, we try to reduce the risk of model mispecification in the existing literature, that has often overlooked the possibility of cross-sectional dependence in the data and heterogeneity in slope coefficients. We also note the importance of time series properties of the data for valid statistical inference. Our results indicate, that ageing of the working-age population depresses labour productivity growth; negative impact of individuals aged between 55 and 64 on total factor productivity growth is only partially offset by its positive impact on human and physical capital accumulation. For sustaining the current level of living standards, adoption of policies, which forestall the negative impact of older workers on innovation process and promote their positive impact on the supply of production factors, is of crucial importance. We do not find evidence, that higher public spending on education in% of GDP has such an effect.https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2020-0013labour productivitydemographicsneoclassical production functionpanel dataj14j24e13
spellingShingle Milanez Ana
Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics
Naše Gospodarstvo
labour productivity
demographics
neoclassical production function
panel data
j14
j24
e13
title Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics
title_full Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics
title_fullStr Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics
title_short Workforce Ageing and Labour Productivity Dynamics
title_sort workforce ageing and labour productivity dynamics
topic labour productivity
demographics
neoclassical production function
panel data
j14
j24
e13
url https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2020-0013
work_keys_str_mv AT milanezana workforceageingandlabourproductivitydynamics