Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence

Lottery-based identification strategies offer potential for generating the next generation of evidence on U.S. early education programs. The authors’ collaborative network of five research teams applying this design in early education settings and methods experts has identified six challenges that n...

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Main Authors: Christina Weiland, Rebecca Unterman, Susan Dynarski, Rachel Abenavoli, Howard Bloom, Breno Braga, Anne-Marie Faria, Erica Greenberg, Brian A. Jacob, Jane Arnold Lincove, Karen Manship, Meghan McCormick, Luke Miratrix, Tomás E. Monarrez, Pamela Morris-Perez, Anna Shapiro, Jon Valant, Lindsay Weixler
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2024-02-01
Series:AERA Open
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/23328584241231933
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author Christina Weiland
Rebecca Unterman
Susan Dynarski
Rachel Abenavoli
Howard Bloom
Breno Braga
Anne-Marie Faria
Erica Greenberg
Brian A. Jacob
Jane Arnold Lincove
Karen Manship
Meghan McCormick
Luke Miratrix
Tomás E. Monarrez
Pamela Morris-Perez
Anna Shapiro
Jon Valant
Lindsay Weixler
author_facet Christina Weiland
Rebecca Unterman
Susan Dynarski
Rachel Abenavoli
Howard Bloom
Breno Braga
Anne-Marie Faria
Erica Greenberg
Brian A. Jacob
Jane Arnold Lincove
Karen Manship
Meghan McCormick
Luke Miratrix
Tomás E. Monarrez
Pamela Morris-Perez
Anna Shapiro
Jon Valant
Lindsay Weixler
author_sort Christina Weiland
collection DOAJ
description Lottery-based identification strategies offer potential for generating the next generation of evidence on U.S. early education programs. The authors’ collaborative network of five research teams applying this design in early education settings and methods experts has identified six challenges that need to be carefully considered in this next context: (a) available baseline covariates that may not be very rich; (b) limited data on the counterfactual; (c) limited and inconsistent outcome data; (d) weakened internal validity due to attrition; (e) constrained external validity due to who competes for oversubscribed programs; and (f) difficulties answering site-level questions with child-level randomization. The authors offer potential solutions to these six challenges and concrete recommendations for the design of future lottery-based early education studies.
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spelling doaj.art-4cee2c3a8c4e4860a0c59ccd2193b2192024-03-01T19:03:38ZengSAGE PublishingAERA Open2332-85842024-02-011010.1177/23328584241231933Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of EvidenceChristina WeilandRebecca UntermanSusan DynarskiRachel AbenavoliHoward BloomBreno BragaAnne-Marie FariaErica GreenbergBrian A. JacobJane Arnold LincoveKaren ManshipMeghan McCormickLuke MiratrixTomás E. MonarrezPamela Morris-PerezAnna ShapiroJon ValantLindsay WeixlerLottery-based identification strategies offer potential for generating the next generation of evidence on U.S. early education programs. The authors’ collaborative network of five research teams applying this design in early education settings and methods experts has identified six challenges that need to be carefully considered in this next context: (a) available baseline covariates that may not be very rich; (b) limited data on the counterfactual; (c) limited and inconsistent outcome data; (d) weakened internal validity due to attrition; (e) constrained external validity due to who competes for oversubscribed programs; and (f) difficulties answering site-level questions with child-level randomization. The authors offer potential solutions to these six challenges and concrete recommendations for the design of future lottery-based early education studies.https://doi.org/10.1177/23328584241231933
spellingShingle Christina Weiland
Rebecca Unterman
Susan Dynarski
Rachel Abenavoli
Howard Bloom
Breno Braga
Anne-Marie Faria
Erica Greenberg
Brian A. Jacob
Jane Arnold Lincove
Karen Manship
Meghan McCormick
Luke Miratrix
Tomás E. Monarrez
Pamela Morris-Perez
Anna Shapiro
Jon Valant
Lindsay Weixler
Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence
AERA Open
title Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence
title_full Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence
title_fullStr Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence
title_short Lottery-Based Evaluations of Early Education Programs: Opportunities and Challenges for Building the Next Generation of Evidence
title_sort lottery based evaluations of early education programs opportunities and challenges for building the next generation of evidence
url https://doi.org/10.1177/23328584241231933
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