Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors

Timely and accurate prediction of crop yield prior to harvest is vital for precise agricultural management. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) provide a fast and convenient approach to crop yield prediction, but most existing crop yield models have rarely been tested across different years, cultivars a...

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Main Authors: Hengbiao Zheng, Wenhan Ji, Wenhui Wang, Jingshan Lu, Dong Li, Caili Guo, Xia Yao, Yongchao Tian, Weixing Cao, Yan Zhu, Tao Cheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Drones
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2504-446X/6/12/423
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author Hengbiao Zheng
Wenhan Ji
Wenhui Wang
Jingshan Lu
Dong Li
Caili Guo
Xia Yao
Yongchao Tian
Weixing Cao
Yan Zhu
Tao Cheng
author_facet Hengbiao Zheng
Wenhan Ji
Wenhui Wang
Jingshan Lu
Dong Li
Caili Guo
Xia Yao
Yongchao Tian
Weixing Cao
Yan Zhu
Tao Cheng
author_sort Hengbiao Zheng
collection DOAJ
description Timely and accurate prediction of crop yield prior to harvest is vital for precise agricultural management. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) provide a fast and convenient approach to crop yield prediction, but most existing crop yield models have rarely been tested across different years, cultivars and sensors. This has limited the ability of these yield models to be transferred to other years or regions or to be potentially used with data from other sensors. In this study, UAV-based multispectral imagery was used to predict rice grain yield at the booting and filling stages from four field experiments, involving three years, two rice cultivars, and two UAV sensors. Reflectance and texture features were extracted from the UAV imagery, and vegetation indices (VIs) and normalized difference texture indices (NDTIs) were computed. The models were independently validated to test the stability and transferability across years, rice cultivars, and sensors. The results showed that the red edge normalized difference texture index (RENDTI) was superior to other texture indices and vegetation indices for model regression with grain yield in most cases. However, the green normalized difference texture index (GNDTI) achieved the highest prediction accuracy in model validation across rice cultivars and sensors. The yield prediction model of <i>Japonica</i> rice achieved stronger transferability to <i>Indica</i> rice with root mean square error (RMSE), bias, and relative RMSE (RRMSE) of 1.16 t/ha, 0.08, and 11.04%, respectively. Model transferability was improved significantly between different sensors after band correction with a decrease of 15.05–59.99% in RRMSE. Random forest (RF) was found to be a good solution to improve the model transferability across different years and cultivars and obtained the highest prediction accuracy with RMSE, bias, and RRMSE of 0.94 t/ha, −0.21, and 9.37%, respectively. This study provides a valuable reference for crop yield prediction when existing models are transferred across different years, cultivars and sensors.
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spelling doaj.art-4cf5a87444764721a40dbe9aa17418942023-11-24T14:25:29ZengMDPI AGDrones2504-446X2022-12-0161242310.3390/drones6120423Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and SensorsHengbiao Zheng0Wenhan Ji1Wenhui Wang2Jingshan Lu3Dong Li4Caili Guo5Xia Yao6Yongchao Tian7Weixing Cao8Yan Zhu9Tao Cheng10National Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaNational Engineering and Technology Center for Information Agriculture, MARA Key Laboratory for Crop System Analysis and Decision Making, Jiangsu Key Laboratory for Information Agriculture, Nanjing 210095, ChinaTimely and accurate prediction of crop yield prior to harvest is vital for precise agricultural management. Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) provide a fast and convenient approach to crop yield prediction, but most existing crop yield models have rarely been tested across different years, cultivars and sensors. This has limited the ability of these yield models to be transferred to other years or regions or to be potentially used with data from other sensors. In this study, UAV-based multispectral imagery was used to predict rice grain yield at the booting and filling stages from four field experiments, involving three years, two rice cultivars, and two UAV sensors. Reflectance and texture features were extracted from the UAV imagery, and vegetation indices (VIs) and normalized difference texture indices (NDTIs) were computed. The models were independently validated to test the stability and transferability across years, rice cultivars, and sensors. The results showed that the red edge normalized difference texture index (RENDTI) was superior to other texture indices and vegetation indices for model regression with grain yield in most cases. However, the green normalized difference texture index (GNDTI) achieved the highest prediction accuracy in model validation across rice cultivars and sensors. The yield prediction model of <i>Japonica</i> rice achieved stronger transferability to <i>Indica</i> rice with root mean square error (RMSE), bias, and relative RMSE (RRMSE) of 1.16 t/ha, 0.08, and 11.04%, respectively. Model transferability was improved significantly between different sensors after band correction with a decrease of 15.05–59.99% in RRMSE. Random forest (RF) was found to be a good solution to improve the model transferability across different years and cultivars and obtained the highest prediction accuracy with RMSE, bias, and RRMSE of 0.94 t/ha, −0.21, and 9.37%, respectively. This study provides a valuable reference for crop yield prediction when existing models are transferred across different years, cultivars and sensors.https://www.mdpi.com/2504-446X/6/12/423grain yieldUAV imagerytexturespectralmodel transferability
spellingShingle Hengbiao Zheng
Wenhan Ji
Wenhui Wang
Jingshan Lu
Dong Li
Caili Guo
Xia Yao
Yongchao Tian
Weixing Cao
Yan Zhu
Tao Cheng
Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors
Drones
grain yield
UAV imagery
texture
spectral
model transferability
title Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors
title_full Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors
title_fullStr Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors
title_full_unstemmed Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors
title_short Transferability of Models for Predicting Rice Grain Yield from Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) Multispectral Imagery across Years, Cultivars and Sensors
title_sort transferability of models for predicting rice grain yield from unmanned aerial vehicle uav multispectral imagery across years cultivars and sensors
topic grain yield
UAV imagery
texture
spectral
model transferability
url https://www.mdpi.com/2504-446X/6/12/423
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