Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Species are considered the fundamental unit in many ecological and evolutionary analyses, yet accurate, complete, accessible taxonomic frameworks with which to identify them are often unavailable to researchers. In such cases DNA seq...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Reid Noah M, Carstens Bryan C
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2012-10-01
Series:BMC Evolutionary Biology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2148/12/196
_version_ 1831705971873808384
author Reid Noah M
Carstens Bryan C
author_facet Reid Noah M
Carstens Bryan C
author_sort Reid Noah M
collection DOAJ
description <p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Species are considered the fundamental unit in many ecological and evolutionary analyses, yet accurate, complete, accessible taxonomic frameworks with which to identify them are often unavailable to researchers. In such cases DNA sequence-based species delimitation has been proposed as a means of estimating species boundaries for further analysis. Several methods have been proposed to accomplish this. Here we present a Bayesian implementation of an evolutionary model-based method, the general mixed Yule-coalescent model (GMYC). Our implementation integrates over the parameters of the model and uncertainty in phylogenetic relationships using the output of widely available phylogenetic models and Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation in order to produce marginal probabilities of species identities.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>We conducted simulations testing the effects of species evolutionary history, levels of intraspecific sampling and number of nucleotides sequenced. We also re-analyze the dataset used to introduce the original GMYC model. We found that the model results are improved with addition of DNA sequence and increased sampling, although these improvements have limits. The most important factor in the success of the model is the underlying phylogenetic history of the species under consideration. Recent and rapid divergences result in higher amounts of uncertainty in the model and eventually cause the model to fail to accurately assess uncertainty in species limits.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Our results suggest that the GMYC model can be useful under a wide variety of circumstances, particularly in cases where divergences are deeper, or taxon sampling is incomplete, as in many studies of ecological communities, but that, in accordance with expectations from coalescent theory, rapid, recent radiations may yield inaccurate results. Our implementation differs from existing ones in two ways: it allows for the accounting for important sources of uncertainty in the model (phylogenetic and in parameters specific to the model) and in the specification of informative prior distributions that can increase the precision of the model. We have incorporated this model into a user-friendly R package available on the authors’ websites.</p>
first_indexed 2024-12-20T16:29:05Z
format Article
id doaj.art-4d9b2be8bfea438db71f5431d9f4a73c
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1471-2148
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-20T16:29:05Z
publishDate 2012-10-01
publisher BMC
record_format Article
series BMC Evolutionary Biology
spelling doaj.art-4d9b2be8bfea438db71f5431d9f4a73c2022-12-21T19:33:17ZengBMCBMC Evolutionary Biology1471-21482012-10-0112119610.1186/1471-2148-12-196Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent modelReid Noah MCarstens Bryan C<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Species are considered the fundamental unit in many ecological and evolutionary analyses, yet accurate, complete, accessible taxonomic frameworks with which to identify them are often unavailable to researchers. In such cases DNA sequence-based species delimitation has been proposed as a means of estimating species boundaries for further analysis. Several methods have been proposed to accomplish this. Here we present a Bayesian implementation of an evolutionary model-based method, the general mixed Yule-coalescent model (GMYC). Our implementation integrates over the parameters of the model and uncertainty in phylogenetic relationships using the output of widely available phylogenetic models and Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation in order to produce marginal probabilities of species identities.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>We conducted simulations testing the effects of species evolutionary history, levels of intraspecific sampling and number of nucleotides sequenced. We also re-analyze the dataset used to introduce the original GMYC model. We found that the model results are improved with addition of DNA sequence and increased sampling, although these improvements have limits. The most important factor in the success of the model is the underlying phylogenetic history of the species under consideration. Recent and rapid divergences result in higher amounts of uncertainty in the model and eventually cause the model to fail to accurately assess uncertainty in species limits.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>Our results suggest that the GMYC model can be useful under a wide variety of circumstances, particularly in cases where divergences are deeper, or taxon sampling is incomplete, as in many studies of ecological communities, but that, in accordance with expectations from coalescent theory, rapid, recent radiations may yield inaccurate results. Our implementation differs from existing ones in two ways: it allows for the accounting for important sources of uncertainty in the model (phylogenetic and in parameters specific to the model) and in the specification of informative prior distributions that can increase the precision of the model. We have incorporated this model into a user-friendly R package available on the authors’ websites.</p>http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2148/12/196Species delimitationGMYCBayesian phylogeneticsDNA barcoding
spellingShingle Reid Noah M
Carstens Bryan C
Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model
BMC Evolutionary Biology
Species delimitation
GMYC
Bayesian phylogenetics
DNA barcoding
title Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model
title_full Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model
title_fullStr Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model
title_full_unstemmed Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model
title_short Phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation: a Bayesian implementation of the general mixed Yule-coalescent model
title_sort phylogenetic estimation error can decrease the accuracy of species delimitation a bayesian implementation of the general mixed yule coalescent model
topic Species delimitation
GMYC
Bayesian phylogenetics
DNA barcoding
url http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2148/12/196
work_keys_str_mv AT reidnoahm phylogeneticestimationerrorcandecreasetheaccuracyofspeciesdelimitationabayesianimplementationofthegeneralmixedyulecoalescentmodel
AT carstensbryanc phylogeneticestimationerrorcandecreasetheaccuracyofspeciesdelimitationabayesianimplementationofthegeneralmixedyulecoalescentmodel