The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again.
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to discuss the evolving interpretations of the Covid crisis and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Design/methodology/approach – Scenario planning paper following Framework Foresight about the Covid pandemic and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Resear...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Emerald Publishing
2023-03-01
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| Series: | Journal of Tourism Futures |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JTF-03-2022-0091/full/pdf |
| _version_ | 1797797058887811072 |
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| author | Jeroen Oskam Tim Davis |
| author_facet | Jeroen Oskam Tim Davis |
| author_sort | Jeroen Oskam |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to discuss the evolving interpretations of the Covid crisis and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Design/methodology/approach – Scenario planning paper following Framework Foresight about the Covid pandemic and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Research input was gathered from research reports in different disciplines and discussions with an expert panel. Findings – The paper argues that hypothesized recovery scenarios were founded on hope and inaccurate extrapolations, and that hospitality and tourism may head for permanently lower volumes. Research limitations/implications – The paper contributes to the debate on tourism resilience and hopeful visions of a sustainable restart. Practical implications – Instead of just focusing on direct pandemic impact and that of governmental measures, a third variable of consumer confidence will be decisive, and more important than expected by many initially, in future scenarios for hospitality and tourism. Originality/value – The proposed scenarios that were designed with executive level industry input have so far proven more realistic than prevalent views of a swift recovery. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T03:42:26Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4d9b401dc7564944ae899bc6d4ac56f0 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2055-5911 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-13T03:42:26Z |
| publishDate | 2023-03-01 |
| publisher | Emerald Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Tourism Futures |
| spelling | doaj.art-4d9b401dc7564944ae899bc6d4ac56f02023-06-23T06:36:20ZengEmerald PublishingJournal of Tourism Futures2055-59112023-03-019142010.1108/JTF-03-2022-0091The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again.Jeroen Oskam0Tim Davis1Research Centre, Hotelschool the Hague, Den Haag, The NetherlandsPACE Dimensions, Greater Guildford Area, UKPurpose – The purpose of this paper is to discuss the evolving interpretations of the Covid crisis and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Design/methodology/approach – Scenario planning paper following Framework Foresight about the Covid pandemic and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Research input was gathered from research reports in different disciplines and discussions with an expert panel. Findings – The paper argues that hypothesized recovery scenarios were founded on hope and inaccurate extrapolations, and that hospitality and tourism may head for permanently lower volumes. Research limitations/implications – The paper contributes to the debate on tourism resilience and hopeful visions of a sustainable restart. Practical implications – Instead of just focusing on direct pandemic impact and that of governmental measures, a third variable of consumer confidence will be decisive, and more important than expected by many initially, in future scenarios for hospitality and tourism. Originality/value – The proposed scenarios that were designed with executive level industry input have so far proven more realistic than prevalent views of a swift recovery.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JTF-03-2022-0091/full/pdfCrisis managementScenario planningStrategic foresightCovid-19Business recoveryTourism resilience |
| spellingShingle | Jeroen Oskam Tim Davis The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again. Journal of Tourism Futures Crisis management Scenario planning Strategic foresight Covid-19 Business recovery Tourism resilience |
| title | The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again. |
| title_full | The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again. |
| title_fullStr | The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again. |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again. |
| title_short | The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again. |
| title_sort | covid pandemic has ended again |
| topic | Crisis management Scenario planning Strategic foresight Covid-19 Business recovery Tourism resilience |
| url | https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JTF-03-2022-0091/full/pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT jeroenoskam thecovidpandemichasendedagain AT timdavis thecovidpandemichasendedagain AT jeroenoskam covidpandemichasendedagain AT timdavis covidpandemichasendedagain |