Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry

Investment analysis is a crucial process for any investment’s success. This process can be supported by both the discounted cash flow analysis and the real options analysis. Many researchers have point out restrictions for the first one, in cases of uncertainty in the entrepreneurial environment. Th...

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Main Authors: Ioannis Kinias, Ioannis Tsakalos, Nikolaos Konstantopoulos
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2017-03-01
Series:Investment Management & Financial Innovations
Subjects:
Online Access:https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/8233/imfi_2017_01_Kinias.pdf
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author Ioannis Kinias
Ioannis Tsakalos
Nikolaos Konstantopoulos
author_facet Ioannis Kinias
Ioannis Tsakalos
Nikolaos Konstantopoulos
author_sort Ioannis Kinias
collection DOAJ
description Investment analysis is a crucial process for any investment’s success. This process can be supported by both the discounted cash flow analysis and the real options analysis. Many researchers have point out restrictions for the first one, in cases of uncertainty in the entrepreneurial environment. The main types of uncertainty, concerning the wind energy sector, include uncertainties related to the price of electriticity by RES, the public policy regulatory policies, the demand, the initial capital costs, the technological progress, the weather conditions, the political and economical situations and generally the RES market structure. In this paper, we try to find the optimal investment strategy in a liberalized global electricity market, where the price of electricity is uncertain while the other parameters are configured separately in each country. The authors consider about the factors of the time for investment and the electricity’s price level, in wind energy by using the real options theory. The authors select a variety of data for the wind energy industry from different countries in several continents, and also create a model for the investment analysis in this entrepreneurial sector.
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spelling doaj.art-4de14395c02a46af94596d1e6c4790792022-12-21T21:17:23ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Investment Management & Financial Innovations1810-49671812-93582017-03-011419610310.21511/imfi.14(1).2017.108233Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industryIoannis Kinias0Ioannis Tsakalos1Nikolaos Konstantopoulos2Department of Business Administration, Business School, University of the AegeanDepartment of Business Administration, Business School, University of the AegeanDepartment of Business Administration, Business School, University of the AegeanInvestment analysis is a crucial process for any investment’s success. This process can be supported by both the discounted cash flow analysis and the real options analysis. Many researchers have point out restrictions for the first one, in cases of uncertainty in the entrepreneurial environment. The main types of uncertainty, concerning the wind energy sector, include uncertainties related to the price of electriticity by RES, the public policy regulatory policies, the demand, the initial capital costs, the technological progress, the weather conditions, the political and economical situations and generally the RES market structure. In this paper, we try to find the optimal investment strategy in a liberalized global electricity market, where the price of electricity is uncertain while the other parameters are configured separately in each country. The authors consider about the factors of the time for investment and the electricity’s price level, in wind energy by using the real options theory. The authors select a variety of data for the wind energy industry from different countries in several continents, and also create a model for the investment analysis in this entrepreneurial sector.https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/8233/imfi_2017_01_Kinias.pdfinvestment analysisreal optionsuncertaintywind energy
spellingShingle Ioannis Kinias
Ioannis Tsakalos
Nikolaos Konstantopoulos
Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
Investment Management & Financial Innovations
investment analysis
real options
uncertainty
wind energy
title Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
title_full Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
title_fullStr Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
title_full_unstemmed Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
title_short Investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty, using real options analysis: the case of wind power industry
title_sort investment evaluation in renewable projects under uncertainty using real options analysis the case of wind power industry
topic investment analysis
real options
uncertainty
wind energy
url https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/8233/imfi_2017_01_Kinias.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT ioanniskinias investmentevaluationinrenewableprojectsunderuncertaintyusingrealoptionsanalysisthecaseofwindpowerindustry
AT ioannistsakalos investmentevaluationinrenewableprojectsunderuncertaintyusingrealoptionsanalysisthecaseofwindpowerindustry
AT nikolaoskonstantopoulos investmentevaluationinrenewableprojectsunderuncertaintyusingrealoptionsanalysisthecaseofwindpowerindustry