De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst

The contribution concerns the homeostatic method, as applied for construing an Amsterdam population series from 1586 to 1865,  and the criticism which it received. The method has been based on extrapolation of population numbers from one interval with a known population total (count) to another wit...

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Main Author: Hubert Nusteling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: openjournals.nl 2018-07-01
Series:Tijdschrift voor Sociale en Economische Geschiedenis
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acc.openjournals.nl/tseg/article/view/8283
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author Hubert Nusteling
author_facet Hubert Nusteling
author_sort Hubert Nusteling
collection DOAJ
description The contribution concerns the homeostatic method, as applied for construing an Amsterdam population series from 1586 to 1865,  and the criticism which it received. The method has been based on extrapolation of population numbers from one interval with a known population total (count) to another with the use of a series of fertile marriages. So, it implies that, in the Ancient Regime, an almost constant relationship existed between successive generations of married women in their fertile years (weighted fertile marriages) and the size of the population, to which they belonged. Due to changing quotes of remarriages as a consequence of changing mortality, series of first marriages are preferred. Whatsoever the causes of differences or divergences between marriage series may be, adequate corrections are required for applying different series successively.  When combined, they ought to be consistent. The critics, however, totally neglect this prescript. Accordingly, it  is no wonder that the population numbers they present as a better alternative for the homeostatic series, in general do not include  results of a higher quality than earlier published estimates, while the homeostatic method just scores definitely better.
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spelling doaj.art-4dfa994dfd8b4b0eb73480f8cfdd83892022-12-21T22:06:37Zengopenjournals.nlTijdschrift voor Sociale en Economische Geschiedenis1572-17012468-90682018-07-01151De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetstHubert Nusteling The contribution concerns the homeostatic method, as applied for construing an Amsterdam population series from 1586 to 1865,  and the criticism which it received. The method has been based on extrapolation of population numbers from one interval with a known population total (count) to another with the use of a series of fertile marriages. So, it implies that, in the Ancient Regime, an almost constant relationship existed between successive generations of married women in their fertile years (weighted fertile marriages) and the size of the population, to which they belonged. Due to changing quotes of remarriages as a consequence of changing mortality, series of first marriages are preferred. Whatsoever the causes of differences or divergences between marriage series may be, adequate corrections are required for applying different series successively.  When combined, they ought to be consistent. The critics, however, totally neglect this prescript. Accordingly, it  is no wonder that the population numbers they present as a better alternative for the homeostatic series, in general do not include  results of a higher quality than earlier published estimates, while the homeostatic method just scores definitely better. https://acc.openjournals.nl/tseg/article/view/8283Amsterdambevolkingsreeksdemography
spellingShingle Hubert Nusteling
De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst
Tijdschrift voor Sociale en Economische Geschiedenis
Amsterdam
bevolkingsreeks
demography
title De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst
title_full De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst
title_fullStr De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst
title_full_unstemmed De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst
title_short De homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor Amsterdam in 1586-1865 toegelicht en getoetst
title_sort de homeostatische bevolkingsreeks voor amsterdam in 1586 1865 toegelicht en getoetst
topic Amsterdam
bevolkingsreeks
demography
url https://acc.openjournals.nl/tseg/article/view/8283
work_keys_str_mv AT hubertnusteling dehomeostatischebevolkingsreeksvooramsterdamin15861865toegelichtengetoetst