Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries
The possibility to reproduce the surface air temperature using the climatic models of the CMIP5 projects has been discussed. Potential changes in the air temperature of the Volga Federal District (VFD) for the 21st century have been assessed based on an ensemble of 35 climatic models. The results of...
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Kazan Federal University
2018-09-01
|
| Series: | Учёные записки Казанского университета: Серия Естественные науки |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://kpfu.ru/changes-in-the-climate-conditions-of-the-volga_382412.html |
| _version_ | 1826910408144846848 |
|---|---|
| author | L.V. Shaikhulmardanova V.V. Guryanov Yu.P. Perevedentsev |
| author_facet | L.V. Shaikhulmardanova V.V. Guryanov Yu.P. Perevedentsev |
| author_sort | L.V. Shaikhulmardanova |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The possibility to reproduce the surface air temperature using the climatic models of the CMIP5 projects has been discussed. Potential changes in the air temperature of the Volga Federal District (VFD) for the 21st century have been assessed based on an ensemble of 35 climatic models. The results of the calculations have demonstrated that the air temperature is expected to increase if the scenario of moderate anthropogenic impact (RCP4.5) on the VFD climatic system in the 21st century holds true. The air temperature growth is likely to increase during the winter and summer periods. In this case, the intensity of winter warming will be higher. The analysis of the amplitude and phase first harmonic of the annual fluctuations in the surface air temperature has been performed. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-13T07:12:50Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4e2f8a8b8cd14f47a760e0d0d9b5d51f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2542-064X 2500-218X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-02-17T09:59:00Z |
| publishDate | 2018-09-01 |
| publisher | Kazan Federal University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Учёные записки Казанского университета: Серия Естественные науки |
| spelling | doaj.art-4e2f8a8b8cd14f47a760e0d0d9b5d51f2025-01-02T04:16:48ZengKazan Federal UniversityУчёные записки Казанского университета: Серия Естественные науки2542-064X2500-218X2018-09-011603531541Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuriesL.V. Shaikhulmardanova0V.V. Guryanov1Yu.P. Perevedentsev2Kazan Federal University, Kazan, 420008 RussiaKazan Federal University, Kazan, 420008 RussiaKazan Federal University, Kazan, 420008 RussiaThe possibility to reproduce the surface air temperature using the climatic models of the CMIP5 projects has been discussed. Potential changes in the air temperature of the Volga Federal District (VFD) for the 21st century have been assessed based on an ensemble of 35 climatic models. The results of the calculations have demonstrated that the air temperature is expected to increase if the scenario of moderate anthropogenic impact (RCP4.5) on the VFD climatic system in the 21st century holds true. The air temperature growth is likely to increase during the winter and summer periods. In this case, the intensity of winter warming will be higher. The analysis of the amplitude and phase first harmonic of the annual fluctuations in the surface air temperature has been performed.https://kpfu.ru/changes-in-the-climate-conditions-of-the-volga_382412.htmlclimate changesair temperaturecmip5 projectclimatic modelsannual fluctuations in air temperatures |
| spellingShingle | L.V. Shaikhulmardanova V.V. Guryanov Yu.P. Perevedentsev Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries Учёные записки Казанского университета: Серия Естественные науки climate changes air temperature cmip5 project climatic models annual fluctuations in air temperatures |
| title | Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries |
| title_full | Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries |
| title_fullStr | Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries |
| title_full_unstemmed | Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries |
| title_short | Changes in the climate conditions of the Volga Federal District during the 19th – 21st centuries |
| title_sort | changes in the climate conditions of the volga federal district during the 19th 21st centuries |
| topic | climate changes air temperature cmip5 project climatic models annual fluctuations in air temperatures |
| url | https://kpfu.ru/changes-in-the-climate-conditions-of-the-volga_382412.html |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT lvshaikhulmardanova changesintheclimateconditionsofthevolgafederaldistrictduringthe19th21stcenturies AT vvguryanov changesintheclimateconditionsofthevolgafederaldistrictduringthe19th21stcenturies AT yupperevedentsev changesintheclimateconditionsofthevolgafederaldistrictduringthe19th21stcenturies |