Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state.
State "shelter-in-place" (SIP) orders limited the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. However, impacts may have varied by state, creating opportunities to learn from states where SIPs have been effective. Using a novel dataset of state-level SIP order enactment and county-level mobility data fo...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2020-01-01
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| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245008 |
| _version_ | 1797976917264039936 |
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| author | Yevgeniy Feyman Jacob Bor Julia Raifman Kevin N Griffith |
| author_facet | Yevgeniy Feyman Jacob Bor Julia Raifman Kevin N Griffith |
| author_sort | Yevgeniy Feyman |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | State "shelter-in-place" (SIP) orders limited the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. However, impacts may have varied by state, creating opportunities to learn from states where SIPs have been effective. Using a novel dataset of state-level SIP order enactment and county-level mobility data form Google, we use a stratified regression discontinuity study design to examine the effect of SIPs in all states that implemented them. We find that SIP orders reduced mobility nationally by 12 percentage points (95% CI: -13.1 to -10.9), however the effects varied substantially across states, from -35 percentage points to +11 percentage points. Larger reductions were observed in states with higher incomes, higher population density, lower Black resident share, and lower 2016 vote shares for Donald J. Trump. This suggests that optimal public policies during a pandemic will vary by state and there is unlikely to be a "one-size fits all" approach that works best. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T04:59:46Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4e6bd4c5145f4b3184255e505632f4c9 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T04:59:46Z |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj.art-4e6bd4c5145f4b3184255e505632f4c92022-12-26T05:31:38ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032020-01-011512e024500810.1371/journal.pone.0245008Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state.Yevgeniy FeymanJacob BorJulia RaifmanKevin N GriffithState "shelter-in-place" (SIP) orders limited the spread of COVID-19 in the U.S. However, impacts may have varied by state, creating opportunities to learn from states where SIPs have been effective. Using a novel dataset of state-level SIP order enactment and county-level mobility data form Google, we use a stratified regression discontinuity study design to examine the effect of SIPs in all states that implemented them. We find that SIP orders reduced mobility nationally by 12 percentage points (95% CI: -13.1 to -10.9), however the effects varied substantially across states, from -35 percentage points to +11 percentage points. Larger reductions were observed in states with higher incomes, higher population density, lower Black resident share, and lower 2016 vote shares for Donald J. Trump. This suggests that optimal public policies during a pandemic will vary by state and there is unlikely to be a "one-size fits all" approach that works best.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245008 |
| spellingShingle | Yevgeniy Feyman Jacob Bor Julia Raifman Kevin N Griffith Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state. PLoS ONE |
| title | Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state. |
| title_full | Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state. |
| title_fullStr | Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state. |
| title_short | Effectiveness of COVID-19 shelter-in-place orders varied by state. |
| title_sort | effectiveness of covid 19 shelter in place orders varied by state |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245008 |
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