Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia

Labuan Bajo recognized as one of the five super-priority tourism destinations established by the Indonesian President in 2019, has experienced a gradual increase in both tourist visits and infrastructure development over time. This development causes landuse changes around the tourism area to suppor...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pertiwi Titis Chris Monika, Saputra Aditya
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2024-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2024/30/e3sconf_interconnects2024_03043.pdf
_version_ 1797248939784667136
author Pertiwi Titis Chris Monika
Saputra Aditya
author_facet Pertiwi Titis Chris Monika
Saputra Aditya
author_sort Pertiwi Titis Chris Monika
collection DOAJ
description Labuan Bajo recognized as one of the five super-priority tourism destinations established by the Indonesian President in 2019, has experienced a gradual increase in both tourist visits and infrastructure development over time. This development causes landuse changes around the tourism area to support tourism activities. The objectives of this research involve analyze of landuse change within Labuan Bajo Urban Area in 2011, 2017, 2023, and predict the landuse in 2029, analyze the factors influencing landuse change, and analyze the suitability of the predicted landuse in 2029 against the City Spatial Plan. This study employs spatiotemporal analysis using Ca-Markov and binary logistic regression model. The outcomes show that the change analysis reveals built-up areas expanded by 161 ha from 2011 to 2017, expanded by 246 ha from 2017 to 2023, and projected to increase to 267 ha in 2029. This reveals a substantial rise landuse change from 2017 to 2023. According to the model, the most influential driving variables on landuse change are the distance to tourist attractions, followed by collector roads, restaurants, arterial roads, transportation infrastructure, and hotels. The landuse suitability against the City Spatial Plan is suitable for 14.791 ha (98,5%), sufficient for 131 ha (1%), and unsuitable for 66 ha (0,5%). The substantial increase requires continuous monitoring to identify the direction of change. This research provides valuable perspectives on how elements of tourism development contribute to the dynamics of landuse transformation in the tourism area.
first_indexed 2024-04-24T20:22:34Z
format Article
id doaj.art-4f1d5c46a0ab40609b2c7d1b96d82fc2
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2267-1242
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-24T20:22:34Z
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher EDP Sciences
record_format Article
series E3S Web of Conferences
spelling doaj.art-4f1d5c46a0ab40609b2c7d1b96d82fc22024-03-22T07:54:25ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422024-01-015000304310.1051/e3sconf/202450003043e3sconf_interconnects2024_03043Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, IndonesiaPertiwi Titis Chris Monika0Saputra Aditya1Department of Geography, Faculty of Geography, Universitas Muhammadiyah SurakartaDepartment of Geography, Faculty of Geography, Universitas Muhammadiyah SurakartaLabuan Bajo recognized as one of the five super-priority tourism destinations established by the Indonesian President in 2019, has experienced a gradual increase in both tourist visits and infrastructure development over time. This development causes landuse changes around the tourism area to support tourism activities. The objectives of this research involve analyze of landuse change within Labuan Bajo Urban Area in 2011, 2017, 2023, and predict the landuse in 2029, analyze the factors influencing landuse change, and analyze the suitability of the predicted landuse in 2029 against the City Spatial Plan. This study employs spatiotemporal analysis using Ca-Markov and binary logistic regression model. The outcomes show that the change analysis reveals built-up areas expanded by 161 ha from 2011 to 2017, expanded by 246 ha from 2017 to 2023, and projected to increase to 267 ha in 2029. This reveals a substantial rise landuse change from 2017 to 2023. According to the model, the most influential driving variables on landuse change are the distance to tourist attractions, followed by collector roads, restaurants, arterial roads, transportation infrastructure, and hotels. The landuse suitability against the City Spatial Plan is suitable for 14.791 ha (98,5%), sufficient for 131 ha (1%), and unsuitable for 66 ha (0,5%). The substantial increase requires continuous monitoring to identify the direction of change. This research provides valuable perspectives on how elements of tourism development contribute to the dynamics of landuse transformation in the tourism area.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2024/30/e3sconf_interconnects2024_03043.pdf
spellingShingle Pertiwi Titis Chris Monika
Saputra Aditya
Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia
E3S Web of Conferences
title Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia
title_full Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia
title_fullStr Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia
title_short Landuse Change Prediction on Super-Priority Tourism Destination in Labuan Bajo, Indonesia
title_sort landuse change prediction on super priority tourism destination in labuan bajo indonesia
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2024/30/e3sconf_interconnects2024_03043.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT pertiwititischrismonika landusechangepredictiononsuperprioritytourismdestinationinlabuanbajoindonesia
AT saputraaditya landusechangepredictiononsuperprioritytourismdestinationinlabuanbajoindonesia