Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria
The study considered the birth gap with four states, length of breastfeeding with four states and type of contraceptives used with five states, by mothers with at least three conceptions in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria. Data was obtained from the population using a self-designed and administered quest...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Joint Coordination Centre of the World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Programme (NARP)
2022-04-01
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| Series: | Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jasem/article/view/226886 |
| _version_ | 1797228229361139712 |
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| author | E. B. Nkemnole E. M. Ikegwu |
| author_facet | E. B. Nkemnole E. M. Ikegwu |
| author_sort | E. B. Nkemnole |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
The study considered the birth gap with four states, length of breastfeeding with four states and type of contraceptives used with five states, by mothers with at least three conceptions in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria. Data was obtained from the population using a self-designed and administered questionnaire. Results showed that the steady state probability of birth gap was highest at state 4 which is > 24 months implying that 3 out of five women on the long – run will space their births at more than 2 years which ultimately will lead to lower child birth, improved mother’s welfare and healthier children. Also, the distribution of mothers and their switching after each period of childbirth shows that contraceptives are indeed effective in controlling conception. Lastly, the transition probabilities of the states are significantly greater than zero and the state are dependent on each other (p < 0.05). The study therefore concluded that increased birth gaps, elongated length of breastfeeding and the use of contraceptives by mothers in Lagos Metropolis when combined will ultimately lead to slowing childbearing and population growth rate thereby serving as strong instruments in population growth control.
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| first_indexed | 2024-04-24T14:53:23Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-4f2f6a58bc164a59bef3dad5bef08fa7 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2659-1502 2659-1499 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-24T14:53:23Z |
| publishDate | 2022-04-01 |
| publisher | Joint Coordination Centre of the World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Programme (NARP) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management |
| spelling | doaj.art-4f2f6a58bc164a59bef3dad5bef08fa72024-04-02T19:47:09ZengJoint Coordination Centre of the World Bank assisted National Agricultural Research Programme (NARP)Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management2659-15022659-14992022-04-0126410.4314/jasem.v26i4.24Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, NigeriaE. B. NkemnoleE. M. Ikegwu The study considered the birth gap with four states, length of breastfeeding with four states and type of contraceptives used with five states, by mothers with at least three conceptions in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria. Data was obtained from the population using a self-designed and administered questionnaire. Results showed that the steady state probability of birth gap was highest at state 4 which is > 24 months implying that 3 out of five women on the long – run will space their births at more than 2 years which ultimately will lead to lower child birth, improved mother’s welfare and healthier children. Also, the distribution of mothers and their switching after each period of childbirth shows that contraceptives are indeed effective in controlling conception. Lastly, the transition probabilities of the states are significantly greater than zero and the state are dependent on each other (p < 0.05). The study therefore concluded that increased birth gaps, elongated length of breastfeeding and the use of contraceptives by mothers in Lagos Metropolis when combined will ultimately lead to slowing childbearing and population growth rate thereby serving as strong instruments in population growth control. https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jasem/article/view/226886Birth gap;Length of breastfeeding;Markov chain;Population control;Transition probability |
| spellingShingle | E. B. Nkemnole E. M. Ikegwu Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management Birth gap; Length of breastfeeding; Markov chain; Population control; Transition probability |
| title | Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria |
| title_full | Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria |
| title_fullStr | Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria |
| title_full_unstemmed | Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria |
| title_short | Discrete-Time Markov Chain Application to Population Growth Control in Lagos Metropolis, Nigeria |
| title_sort | discrete time markov chain application to population growth control in lagos metropolis nigeria |
| topic | Birth gap; Length of breastfeeding; Markov chain; Population control; Transition probability |
| url | https://www.ajol.info/index.php/jasem/article/view/226886 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ebnkemnole discretetimemarkovchainapplicationtopopulationgrowthcontrolinlagosmetropolisnigeria AT emikegwu discretetimemarkovchainapplicationtopopulationgrowthcontrolinlagosmetropolisnigeria |