Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health

Farnoosh Haji-Sheikhi, Maren S Fragala, Lance A Bare, Charles M Rowland, Steven E Goldberg Quest Diagnostics, Secaucus, NJ, USACorrespondence: Maren S Fragala, Quest Diagnostics, 500 Plaza Dr, Secaucus, NJ, 07094, USA, Tel +1 508 728 2923, Email Maren.S.Fragala@QuestDiagnostics.comIntroduction: Stra...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Haji-Sheikhi F, Fragala MS, Bare LA, Rowland CM, Goldberg SE
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2023-06-01
Series:ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/prediction-of-future-medical-costs-by-modifiable-measures-of-health-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-CEOR
_version_ 1797789424394698752
author Haji-Sheikhi F
Fragala MS
Bare LA
Rowland CM
Goldberg SE
author_facet Haji-Sheikhi F
Fragala MS
Bare LA
Rowland CM
Goldberg SE
author_sort Haji-Sheikhi F
collection DOAJ
description Farnoosh Haji-Sheikhi, Maren S Fragala, Lance A Bare, Charles M Rowland, Steven E Goldberg Quest Diagnostics, Secaucus, NJ, USACorrespondence: Maren S Fragala, Quest Diagnostics, 500 Plaza Dr, Secaucus, NJ, 07094, USA, Tel +1 508 728 2923, Email Maren.S.Fragala@QuestDiagnostics.comIntroduction: Strategies to mitigate rising health-care costs are a priority for patients, employers, and health insurers. Yet gaps currently exist in whether health risk assessment can forecast medical claims costs. This study examined the ability of a health quotient (HQ) based on modifiable risk factors, age, sex, and chronic conditions to predict future medical claims spending.Methods: The study included 18,695 employees and adult dependents who participated in health assessments and were enrolled in an employer-sponsored health plan. Linear mixed effect models stratified by chronic conditions and adjusted for age and sex were utilized to evaluate the relationship between the health quotient (score of 0– 100) and future medical claims spending.Results: Lower baseline health quotient was associated with higher medical claims cost over 2 years of follow up. For participants with chronic condition(s), costs were &dollar;3628 higher for those with a low health quotient (< 73; N = 2673) compared to those with high health quotient (> 85; N = 1045), after adjustment for age and sex (P value = 0.004). Each one-unit increase in health quotient was associated with a decrease of &dollar;154 (95% CI: 87.4, 220.3) in average yearly medical claims costs during follow up.Discussion: This study used a large employee population with 2 years of follow-up data, which provides insights that are applicable to other large employers. Results of this analysis contribute to our ability to predict health-care costs using modifiable aspects of health, objective laboratory testing and chronic condition status.Keywords: employee population, healthcare spend, health quotient, health risk assessment, medical claims costs
first_indexed 2024-03-13T01:50:27Z
format Article
id doaj.art-4f484bd66c7047108755b181729cd4af
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1178-6981
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T01:50:27Z
publishDate 2023-06-01
publisher Dove Medical Press
record_format Article
series ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research
spelling doaj.art-4f484bd66c7047108755b181729cd4af2023-07-02T19:49:15ZengDove Medical PressClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research1178-69812023-06-01Volume 1552553484827Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of HealthHaji-Sheikhi FFragala MSBare LARowland CMGoldberg SEFarnoosh Haji-Sheikhi, Maren S Fragala, Lance A Bare, Charles M Rowland, Steven E Goldberg Quest Diagnostics, Secaucus, NJ, USACorrespondence: Maren S Fragala, Quest Diagnostics, 500 Plaza Dr, Secaucus, NJ, 07094, USA, Tel +1 508 728 2923, Email Maren.S.Fragala@QuestDiagnostics.comIntroduction: Strategies to mitigate rising health-care costs are a priority for patients, employers, and health insurers. Yet gaps currently exist in whether health risk assessment can forecast medical claims costs. This study examined the ability of a health quotient (HQ) based on modifiable risk factors, age, sex, and chronic conditions to predict future medical claims spending.Methods: The study included 18,695 employees and adult dependents who participated in health assessments and were enrolled in an employer-sponsored health plan. Linear mixed effect models stratified by chronic conditions and adjusted for age and sex were utilized to evaluate the relationship between the health quotient (score of 0– 100) and future medical claims spending.Results: Lower baseline health quotient was associated with higher medical claims cost over 2 years of follow up. For participants with chronic condition(s), costs were &dollar;3628 higher for those with a low health quotient (< 73; N = 2673) compared to those with high health quotient (> 85; N = 1045), after adjustment for age and sex (P value = 0.004). Each one-unit increase in health quotient was associated with a decrease of &dollar;154 (95% CI: 87.4, 220.3) in average yearly medical claims costs during follow up.Discussion: This study used a large employee population with 2 years of follow-up data, which provides insights that are applicable to other large employers. Results of this analysis contribute to our ability to predict health-care costs using modifiable aspects of health, objective laboratory testing and chronic condition status.Keywords: employee population, healthcare spend, health quotient, health risk assessment, medical claims costshttps://www.dovepress.com/prediction-of-future-medical-costs-by-modifiable-measures-of-health-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-CEORemployee populationhealthcare spendhealth quotienthealth risk assessmentmedical claims costs
spellingShingle Haji-Sheikhi F
Fragala MS
Bare LA
Rowland CM
Goldberg SE
Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health
ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research
employee population
healthcare spend
health quotient
health risk assessment
medical claims costs
title Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health
title_full Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health
title_fullStr Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health
title_short Prediction of Future Medical Costs by Modifiable Measures of Health
title_sort prediction of future medical costs by modifiable measures of health
topic employee population
healthcare spend
health quotient
health risk assessment
medical claims costs
url https://www.dovepress.com/prediction-of-future-medical-costs-by-modifiable-measures-of-health-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-CEOR
work_keys_str_mv AT hajisheikhif predictionoffuturemedicalcostsbymodifiablemeasuresofhealth
AT fragalams predictionoffuturemedicalcostsbymodifiablemeasuresofhealth
AT barela predictionoffuturemedicalcostsbymodifiablemeasuresofhealth
AT rowlandcm predictionoffuturemedicalcostsbymodifiablemeasuresofhealth
AT goldbergse predictionoffuturemedicalcostsbymodifiablemeasuresofhealth