BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R

This document introduces the R package BGVAR to estimate Bayesian global vector autoregressions (GVAR) with shrinkage priors and stochastic volatility. The Bayesian treatment of GVARs allows to include large information sets by mitigating issues related to overfitting. This often improves inference...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Maximilian Boeck, Martin Feldkircher, Florian Huber
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Foundation for Open Access Statistics 2022-10-01
Series:Journal of Statistical Software
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.jstatsoft.org/index.php/jss/article/view/4147
Description
Summary:This document introduces the R package BGVAR to estimate Bayesian global vector autoregressions (GVAR) with shrinkage priors and stochastic volatility. The Bayesian treatment of GVARs allows to include large information sets by mitigating issues related to overfitting. This often improves inference as well as out-of-sample forecasts. Computational efficiency is achieved by using C++ to considerably speed up time-consuming functions. To maximize usability, the package includes numerous functions for carrying out structural inference and forecasting. These include generalized and structural impulse response functions, forecast error variance, and historical decompositions as well as conditional forecasts.
ISSN:1548-7660