BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R

This document introduces the R package BGVAR to estimate Bayesian global vector autoregressions (GVAR) with shrinkage priors and stochastic volatility. The Bayesian treatment of GVARs allows to include large information sets by mitigating issues related to overfitting. This often improves inference...

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Main Authors: Maximilian Boeck, Martin Feldkircher, Florian Huber
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Foundation for Open Access Statistics 2022-10-01
Series:Journal of Statistical Software
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.jstatsoft.org/index.php/jss/article/view/4147
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author Maximilian Boeck
Martin Feldkircher
Florian Huber
author_facet Maximilian Boeck
Martin Feldkircher
Florian Huber
author_sort Maximilian Boeck
collection DOAJ
description This document introduces the R package BGVAR to estimate Bayesian global vector autoregressions (GVAR) with shrinkage priors and stochastic volatility. The Bayesian treatment of GVARs allows to include large information sets by mitigating issues related to overfitting. This often improves inference as well as out-of-sample forecasts. Computational efficiency is achieved by using C++ to considerably speed up time-consuming functions. To maximize usability, the package includes numerous functions for carrying out structural inference and forecasting. These include generalized and structural impulse response functions, forecast error variance, and historical decompositions as well as conditional forecasts.
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spelling doaj.art-4f52afcb51ce49bd8047aac2a426cb032023-06-01T18:48:03ZengFoundation for Open Access StatisticsJournal of Statistical Software1548-76602022-10-0110412810.18637/jss.v104.i093934BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in RMaximilian Boeck0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6024-8305Martin Feldkircher1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5511-9215Florian Huber2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2896-7921Vienna University of Economics and BusinessVienna School of International StudiesUniversity of SalzburgThis document introduces the R package BGVAR to estimate Bayesian global vector autoregressions (GVAR) with shrinkage priors and stochastic volatility. The Bayesian treatment of GVARs allows to include large information sets by mitigating issues related to overfitting. This often improves inference as well as out-of-sample forecasts. Computational efficiency is achieved by using C++ to considerably speed up time-consuming functions. To maximize usability, the package includes numerous functions for carrying out structural inference and forecasting. These include generalized and structural impulse response functions, forecast error variance, and historical decompositions as well as conditional forecasts.https://www.jstatsoft.org/index.php/jss/article/view/4147global vector autoregressionsbayesian inferencetime series analysisr
spellingShingle Maximilian Boeck
Martin Feldkircher
Florian Huber
BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R
Journal of Statistical Software
global vector autoregressions
bayesian inference
time series analysis
r
title BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R
title_full BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R
title_fullStr BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R
title_full_unstemmed BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R
title_short BGVAR: Bayesian Global Vector Autoregressions with Shrinkage Priors in R
title_sort bgvar bayesian global vector autoregressions with shrinkage priors in r
topic global vector autoregressions
bayesian inference
time series analysis
r
url https://www.jstatsoft.org/index.php/jss/article/view/4147
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