A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids

The transient responses of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a microgrid are dynamically correlated in spatial and temporal dimensions. Hence, the transient stability prediction in microgrids would require an effective modeling of time-varying correlations and the mining of spatial–temporal fea...

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Main Authors: Huimin Zhao, Lili He, Yelun Peng, Zhikang Shuai, Zhixue Zhang, Liang Hu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-01-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/3/636
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author Huimin Zhao
Lili He
Yelun Peng
Zhikang Shuai
Zhixue Zhang
Liang Hu
author_facet Huimin Zhao
Lili He
Yelun Peng
Zhikang Shuai
Zhixue Zhang
Liang Hu
author_sort Huimin Zhao
collection DOAJ
description The transient responses of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a microgrid are dynamically correlated in spatial and temporal dimensions. Hence, the transient stability prediction in microgrids would require an effective modeling of time-varying correlations and the mining of spatial–temporal features of electrical data. This paper proposes a refined DER-level transient stability prediction method for microgrids considering the time-varying spatial–temporal correlations of DERs. First, the spatial–temporal dynamic correlation of DERs was extracted and modeled by an attention-based mechanism. Then, a spatial–temporal graph convolution network was proposed to predict the dynamics of unstable DERs and the instability severity trend in a microgrid. The TSP model consisted of three parts: (1) several stacked spatial–temporal convolution modules to simultaneously mine the spatial–temporal dynamic features of microgrids, (2) an unstable DER identification module to predict the microgrid system stability and identify unstable DERs, and (3) an instability severity trend prediction module for DERs in a microgrid. The test results on a realistic 16-bus 10-DER microgrid demonstrated that the proposed prediction method possessed the desirable reliability and interpretability and outperformed the state-of-the-art baselines in unstable DER identifications and DER instability severity trend predictions.
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spelling doaj.art-4f64a5436ef24f538a56ecc5e1d39c852024-02-09T15:11:22ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732024-01-0117363610.3390/en17030636A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in MicrogridsHuimin Zhao0Lili He1Yelun Peng2Zhikang Shuai3Zhixue Zhang4Liang Hu5CRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Institute Co., Ltd., Zhuzhou 412001, ChinaCollege of Electrical and Information Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410012, ChinaCollege of Electrical and Information Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410012, ChinaCollege of Electrical and Information Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410012, ChinaCRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Institute Co., Ltd., Zhuzhou 412001, ChinaCRRC Zhuzhou Electric Locomotive Institute Co., Ltd., Zhuzhou 412001, ChinaThe transient responses of distributed energy resources (DERs) in a microgrid are dynamically correlated in spatial and temporal dimensions. Hence, the transient stability prediction in microgrids would require an effective modeling of time-varying correlations and the mining of spatial–temporal features of electrical data. This paper proposes a refined DER-level transient stability prediction method for microgrids considering the time-varying spatial–temporal correlations of DERs. First, the spatial–temporal dynamic correlation of DERs was extracted and modeled by an attention-based mechanism. Then, a spatial–temporal graph convolution network was proposed to predict the dynamics of unstable DERs and the instability severity trend in a microgrid. The TSP model consisted of three parts: (1) several stacked spatial–temporal convolution modules to simultaneously mine the spatial–temporal dynamic features of microgrids, (2) an unstable DER identification module to predict the microgrid system stability and identify unstable DERs, and (3) an instability severity trend prediction module for DERs in a microgrid. The test results on a realistic 16-bus 10-DER microgrid demonstrated that the proposed prediction method possessed the desirable reliability and interpretability and outperformed the state-of-the-art baselines in unstable DER identifications and DER instability severity trend predictions.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/3/636index terms microgridtransient stability predictiondeep learningtime-varying spatial–temporal correlation
spellingShingle Huimin Zhao
Lili He
Yelun Peng
Zhikang Shuai
Zhixue Zhang
Liang Hu
A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids
Energies
index terms microgrid
transient stability prediction
deep learning
time-varying spatial–temporal correlation
title A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids
title_full A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids
title_fullStr A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids
title_full_unstemmed A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids
title_short A Refined DER-Level Transient Stability Prediction Method Considering Time-Varying Spatial–Temporal Correlations in Microgrids
title_sort refined der level transient stability prediction method considering time varying spatial temporal correlations in microgrids
topic index terms microgrid
transient stability prediction
deep learning
time-varying spatial–temporal correlation
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/17/3/636
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