Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies

Abstract Malaria, a mosquito-borne infectious disease, is considered a significant global health burden. Climate changes or different weather conditions may impact infectious diseases, specifically those transmitted by insect vectors and contaminated water. Based on the current predictions for clima...

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Main Authors: Wilsandrei Cella, Djane Clarys Baia-da-Silva, Gisely Cardoso de Melo, Wanderli Pedro Tadei, Vanderson de Souza Sampaio, Paulo Pimenta, Marcus Vinicius Guimarães Lacerda, Wuelton Marcelo Monteiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (SBMT) 2019-12-01
Series:Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822019000100251&tlng=en
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author Wilsandrei Cella
Djane Clarys Baia-da-Silva
Gisely Cardoso de Melo
Wanderli Pedro Tadei
Vanderson de Souza Sampaio
Paulo Pimenta
Marcus Vinicius Guimarães Lacerda
Wuelton Marcelo Monteiro
author_facet Wilsandrei Cella
Djane Clarys Baia-da-Silva
Gisely Cardoso de Melo
Wanderli Pedro Tadei
Vanderson de Souza Sampaio
Paulo Pimenta
Marcus Vinicius Guimarães Lacerda
Wuelton Marcelo Monteiro
author_sort Wilsandrei Cella
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Malaria, a mosquito-borne infectious disease, is considered a significant global health burden. Climate changes or different weather conditions may impact infectious diseases, specifically those transmitted by insect vectors and contaminated water. Based on the current predictions for climate change associated with the increase in carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere and the increase in atmospheric temperature, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that in 2050, malaria may threaten some previously unexposed areas worldwide and cause a 50% higher probability of malaria cases. Climate-based distribution models of malaria depict an increase in the geographic distribution of the disease as global environmental temperatures and conditions worsen. Researchers have studied the influence of changes in climate on the prevalence of malaria using different mathematical models that consider different variables and predict the conditions for malaria distribution. In this context, we conducted a mini-review to elucidate the important aspects described in the literature on the influence of climate change in the distribution and transmission of malaria. It is important to develop possible risk management strategies and enhance the surveillance system enhanced even in currently malaria-free areas predicted to experience malaria in the future.
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spelling doaj.art-4fa24c7414a84da883fc6bf9d32d23482022-12-22T03:28:51ZengSociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical (SBMT)Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical1678-98492019-12-015210.1590/0037-8682-0308-2019Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studiesWilsandrei CellaDjane Clarys Baia-da-SilvaGisely Cardoso de MeloWanderli Pedro TadeiVanderson de Souza SampaioPaulo PimentaMarcus Vinicius Guimarães LacerdaWuelton Marcelo Monteirohttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0848-1940Abstract Malaria, a mosquito-borne infectious disease, is considered a significant global health burden. Climate changes or different weather conditions may impact infectious diseases, specifically those transmitted by insect vectors and contaminated water. Based on the current predictions for climate change associated with the increase in carbon dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere and the increase in atmospheric temperature, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that in 2050, malaria may threaten some previously unexposed areas worldwide and cause a 50% higher probability of malaria cases. Climate-based distribution models of malaria depict an increase in the geographic distribution of the disease as global environmental temperatures and conditions worsen. Researchers have studied the influence of changes in climate on the prevalence of malaria using different mathematical models that consider different variables and predict the conditions for malaria distribution. In this context, we conducted a mini-review to elucidate the important aspects described in the literature on the influence of climate change in the distribution and transmission of malaria. It is important to develop possible risk management strategies and enhance the surveillance system enhanced even in currently malaria-free areas predicted to experience malaria in the future.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822019000100251&tlng=enClimate changesMalariaInfectious diseases
spellingShingle Wilsandrei Cella
Djane Clarys Baia-da-Silva
Gisely Cardoso de Melo
Wanderli Pedro Tadei
Vanderson de Souza Sampaio
Paulo Pimenta
Marcus Vinicius Guimarães Lacerda
Wuelton Marcelo Monteiro
Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical
Climate changes
Malaria
Infectious diseases
title Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
title_full Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
title_fullStr Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
title_full_unstemmed Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
title_short Do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria? Evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
title_sort do climate changes alter the distribution and transmission of malaria evidence assessment and recommendations for future studies
topic Climate changes
Malaria
Infectious diseases
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0037-86822019000100251&tlng=en
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