The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development

That global climate is being altered by human activities is well-established; for specific locations, however, the details of how and when many aspects of the changes will become manifest remains somewhat uncertain. For many policy makers there is a gap between recognising a long-term change and imp...

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Main Authors: Barbara E Evans, David P Rowell, Frederick H M Semazzi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2020-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbeb9
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author Barbara E Evans
David P Rowell
Frederick H M Semazzi
author_facet Barbara E Evans
David P Rowell
Frederick H M Semazzi
author_sort Barbara E Evans
collection DOAJ
description That global climate is being altered by human activities is well-established; for specific locations, however, the details of how and when many aspects of the changes will become manifest remains somewhat uncertain. For many policy makers there is a gap between recognising a long-term change and implementing short-term practical responses; therefore many countries are failing to implement changes needed for long-term adaptation. Traditional planning approaches are often closely aligned with near- term political cycles and perform poorly in terms of prioritising interventions that address multi-decadal climate impacts. We propose a novel approach that builds on adaptive planning and lessons from the business sector. The Future-Climate, Current-Policy (FCCP) Framework is based on plausible medium-term future climate scenarios, linked ‘backwards’ to identify short-term ‘no regrets’ actions. The approach was designed by a team of climate scientists and policy practitioners in East Africa and tested in national and regional fora. Initial trials of the FCCP Framework has proved it to be popular and effective as a way of linking climate science with policy. Its use shows promise as a way of initiating discussions that can enable long-term climate change information to feed effectively into the policy and planning process.
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spelling doaj.art-501538bc190c4925bf3a4124d800f44e2023-08-09T14:56:23ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262020-01-01151111403710.1088/1748-9326/abbeb9The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy developmentBarbara E Evans0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9815-3141David P Rowell1Frederick H M Semazzi2University of Leeds , United KingdomUK Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research , United KingdomNorth Carolina State University , United States of AmericaThat global climate is being altered by human activities is well-established; for specific locations, however, the details of how and when many aspects of the changes will become manifest remains somewhat uncertain. For many policy makers there is a gap between recognising a long-term change and implementing short-term practical responses; therefore many countries are failing to implement changes needed for long-term adaptation. Traditional planning approaches are often closely aligned with near- term political cycles and perform poorly in terms of prioritising interventions that address multi-decadal climate impacts. We propose a novel approach that builds on adaptive planning and lessons from the business sector. The Future-Climate, Current-Policy (FCCP) Framework is based on plausible medium-term future climate scenarios, linked ‘backwards’ to identify short-term ‘no regrets’ actions. The approach was designed by a team of climate scientists and policy practitioners in East Africa and tested in national and regional fora. Initial trials of the FCCP Framework has proved it to be popular and effective as a way of linking climate science with policy. Its use shows promise as a way of initiating discussions that can enable long-term climate change information to feed effectively into the policy and planning process.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbeb9climate changepolicyeast Africaplanningsanitationagriculture
spellingShingle Barbara E Evans
David P Rowell
Frederick H M Semazzi
The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
Environmental Research Letters
climate change
policy
east Africa
planning
sanitation
agriculture
title The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
title_full The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
title_fullStr The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
title_full_unstemmed The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
title_short The future-climate, current-policy framework: towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
title_sort future climate current policy framework towards an approach linking climate science to sector policy development
topic climate change
policy
east Africa
planning
sanitation
agriculture
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbeb9
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