Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry

PurposeRadiation-induced skin toxicity is a common and distressing side effect of breast radiation therapy (RT). We investigated the use of quantitative spectrophotometric markers as input parameters in supervised machine learning models to develop a predictive model for acute radiation toxicity.Met...

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Main Authors: Savino Cilla, Carmela Romano, Gabriella Macchia, Mariangela Boccardi, Donato Pezzulla, Milly Buwenge, Augusto Di Castelnuovo, Francesca Bracone, Amalia De Curtis, Chiara Cerletti, Licia Iacoviello, Maria Benedetta Donati, Francesco Deodato, Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1044358/full
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author Savino Cilla
Carmela Romano
Gabriella Macchia
Mariangela Boccardi
Donato Pezzulla
Milly Buwenge
Augusto Di Castelnuovo
Francesca Bracone
Amalia De Curtis
Chiara Cerletti
Licia Iacoviello
Licia Iacoviello
Maria Benedetta Donati
Francesco Deodato
Francesco Deodato
Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
author_facet Savino Cilla
Carmela Romano
Gabriella Macchia
Mariangela Boccardi
Donato Pezzulla
Milly Buwenge
Augusto Di Castelnuovo
Francesca Bracone
Amalia De Curtis
Chiara Cerletti
Licia Iacoviello
Licia Iacoviello
Maria Benedetta Donati
Francesco Deodato
Francesco Deodato
Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
author_sort Savino Cilla
collection DOAJ
description PurposeRadiation-induced skin toxicity is a common and distressing side effect of breast radiation therapy (RT). We investigated the use of quantitative spectrophotometric markers as input parameters in supervised machine learning models to develop a predictive model for acute radiation toxicity.Methods and materialsOne hundred twenty-nine patients treated for adjuvant whole-breast radiotherapy were evaluated. Two spectrophotometer variables, i.e. the melanin (IM) and erythema (IE) indices, were used to quantitatively assess the skin physical changes. Measurements were performed at 4-time intervals: before RT, at the end of RT and 1 and 6 months after the end of RT. Together with clinical covariates, melanin and erythema indices were correlated with skin toxicity, evaluated using the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) guidelines. Binary group classes were labeled according to a RTOG cut-off score of ≥ 2. The patient’s dataset was randomly split into a training and testing set used for model development/validation and testing (75%/25% split). A 5-times repeated holdout cross-validation was performed. Three supervised machine learning models, including support vector machine (SVM), classification and regression tree analysis (CART) and logistic regression (LR), were employed for modeling and skin toxicity prediction purposes.ResultsThirty-four (26.4%) patients presented with adverse skin effects (RTOG ≥2) at the end of treatment. The two spectrophotometric variables at the beginning of RT (IM,T0 and IE,T0), together with the volumes of breast (PTV2) and boost surgical cavity (PTV1), the body mass index (BMI) and the dose fractionation scheme (FRAC) were found significantly associated with the RTOG score groups (p<0.05) in univariate analysis. The diagnostic performances measured by the area-under-curve (AUC) were 0.816, 0.734, 0.714, 0.691 and 0.664 for IM, IE, PTV2, PTV1 and BMI, respectively. Classification performances reported precision, recall and F1-values greater than 0.8 for all models. The SVM classifier using the RBF kernel had the best performance, with accuracy, precision, recall and F-score equal to 89.8%, 88.7%, 98.6% and 93.3%, respectively. CART analysis classified patients with IM,T0 ≥ 99 to be associated with RTOG ≥ 2 toxicity; subsequently, PTV1 and PTV2 played a significant role in increasing the classification rate. The CART model provided a very high diagnostic performance of AUC=0.959.ConclusionsSpectrophotometry is an objective and reliable tool able to assess radiation induced skin tissue injury. Using a machine learning approach, we were able to predict grade RTOG ≥2 skin toxicity in patients undergoing breast RT. This approach may prove useful for treatment management aiming to improve patient quality of life.
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spelling doaj.art-5031313034da4f60ad2ab7c4306000e02023-01-06T17:58:48ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Oncology2234-943X2023-01-011210.3389/fonc.2022.10443581044358Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometrySavino Cilla0Carmela Romano1Gabriella Macchia2Mariangela Boccardi3Donato Pezzulla4Milly Buwenge5Augusto Di Castelnuovo6Francesca Bracone7Amalia De Curtis8Chiara Cerletti9Licia Iacoviello10Licia Iacoviello11Maria Benedetta Donati12Francesco Deodato13Francesco Deodato14Alessio Giuseppe Morganti15Alessio Giuseppe Morganti16Medical Physics Unit, Gemelli Molise Hospital, Campobasso, ItalyMedical Physics Unit, Gemelli Molise Hospital, Campobasso, ItalyRadiation Oncology Unit, Gemelli Molise Hospital, Campobasso, ItalyRadiation Oncology Unit, Gemelli Molise Hospital, Campobasso, ItalyRadiation Oncology Unit, Gemelli Molise Hospital, Campobasso, ItalyRadiation Oncology, Istituti di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS) Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, ItalyMediterranea Cardiocentro, Napoli, ItalyDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, ItalyDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, ItalyDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, ItalyDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, ItalyDepartment of Medicine and Surgery, Research Center in Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine (EPIMED), University of Insubria, Varese, ItalyDepartment of Epidemiology and Prevention, IRCCS Neuromed, Pozzilli, ItalyRadiation Oncology Unit, Gemelli Molise Hospital, Campobasso, ItalyIstituto di Radiologia, Universitá Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, ItalyRadiation Oncology, Istituti di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico (IRCCS) Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, ItalyDepartment of Experimental, Diagnostic, and Specialty Medicine - DIMES, Alma Mater Studiorum Bologna University, Bologna, ItalyPurposeRadiation-induced skin toxicity is a common and distressing side effect of breast radiation therapy (RT). We investigated the use of quantitative spectrophotometric markers as input parameters in supervised machine learning models to develop a predictive model for acute radiation toxicity.Methods and materialsOne hundred twenty-nine patients treated for adjuvant whole-breast radiotherapy were evaluated. Two spectrophotometer variables, i.e. the melanin (IM) and erythema (IE) indices, were used to quantitatively assess the skin physical changes. Measurements were performed at 4-time intervals: before RT, at the end of RT and 1 and 6 months after the end of RT. Together with clinical covariates, melanin and erythema indices were correlated with skin toxicity, evaluated using the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) guidelines. Binary group classes were labeled according to a RTOG cut-off score of ≥ 2. The patient’s dataset was randomly split into a training and testing set used for model development/validation and testing (75%/25% split). A 5-times repeated holdout cross-validation was performed. Three supervised machine learning models, including support vector machine (SVM), classification and regression tree analysis (CART) and logistic regression (LR), were employed for modeling and skin toxicity prediction purposes.ResultsThirty-four (26.4%) patients presented with adverse skin effects (RTOG ≥2) at the end of treatment. The two spectrophotometric variables at the beginning of RT (IM,T0 and IE,T0), together with the volumes of breast (PTV2) and boost surgical cavity (PTV1), the body mass index (BMI) and the dose fractionation scheme (FRAC) were found significantly associated with the RTOG score groups (p<0.05) in univariate analysis. The diagnostic performances measured by the area-under-curve (AUC) were 0.816, 0.734, 0.714, 0.691 and 0.664 for IM, IE, PTV2, PTV1 and BMI, respectively. Classification performances reported precision, recall and F1-values greater than 0.8 for all models. The SVM classifier using the RBF kernel had the best performance, with accuracy, precision, recall and F-score equal to 89.8%, 88.7%, 98.6% and 93.3%, respectively. CART analysis classified patients with IM,T0 ≥ 99 to be associated with RTOG ≥ 2 toxicity; subsequently, PTV1 and PTV2 played a significant role in increasing the classification rate. The CART model provided a very high diagnostic performance of AUC=0.959.ConclusionsSpectrophotometry is an objective and reliable tool able to assess radiation induced skin tissue injury. Using a machine learning approach, we were able to predict grade RTOG ≥2 skin toxicity in patients undergoing breast RT. This approach may prove useful for treatment management aiming to improve patient quality of life.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1044358/fullmachine learningradiation oncologybreasttoxicityspectrophotometry
spellingShingle Savino Cilla
Carmela Romano
Gabriella Macchia
Mariangela Boccardi
Donato Pezzulla
Milly Buwenge
Augusto Di Castelnuovo
Francesca Bracone
Amalia De Curtis
Chiara Cerletti
Licia Iacoviello
Licia Iacoviello
Maria Benedetta Donati
Francesco Deodato
Francesco Deodato
Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
Alessio Giuseppe Morganti
Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
Frontiers in Oncology
machine learning
radiation oncology
breast
toxicity
spectrophotometry
title Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
title_full Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
title_fullStr Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
title_full_unstemmed Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
title_short Machine-learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
title_sort machine learning prediction model for acute skin toxicity after breast radiation therapy using spectrophotometry
topic machine learning
radiation oncology
breast
toxicity
spectrophotometry
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1044358/full
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