The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know
Several recent studies have investigated if support for Jair Bolsonaro in the presidential election of 2018 is positively associated with COVID-19 infections and deaths in Brazil. In these studies, COVID-19 outcomes in 2020 and 2021 are the dependent variables, and votes for Jair Bolsonaro in the 20...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Brazilian Political Science Association
2022-10-01
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| Series: | Brazilian Political Science Review |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/article/the-relationship-between-ideology-and-covid-19-deaths-what-we-know-and-what-we-still-need-to-know/ |
| _version_ | 1797743850915102720 |
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| author | Lorena Barberia Natalia de Paula Moreira Rebeca de Jesus Carvalho Maria Leticia Claro Oliveira Isabel Seelaender Costa Rosa Marcela Zamudio |
| author_facet | Lorena Barberia Natalia de Paula Moreira Rebeca de Jesus Carvalho Maria Leticia Claro Oliveira Isabel Seelaender Costa Rosa Marcela Zamudio |
| author_sort | Lorena Barberia |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Several recent studies have investigated if support for Jair Bolsonaro in the presidential election of 2018 is positively associated with COVID-19 infections and deaths in Brazil. In these studies, COVID-19 outcomes in 2020 and 2021 are the dependent variables, and votes for Jair Bolsonaro in the 2018 presidential election (as a proxy for ideology) are the key explanatory variable. This article discusses why ecological research designs are difficult to test empirically. We discuss why correlations between vote shares and COVID-19 outcomes using aggregate data can produce biased inferences, and we specifically focus on measurement error, aggregation bias, and spatial and temporal dynamics. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:01:25Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-50863ca81d8a4058bb89d90329d13100 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1981-3821 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:01:25Z |
| publishDate | 2022-10-01 |
| publisher | Brazilian Political Science Association |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Brazilian Political Science Review |
| spelling | doaj.art-50863ca81d8a4058bb89d90329d131002023-08-13T23:11:24ZengBrazilian Political Science AssociationBrazilian Political Science Review1981-38212022-10-0116310.1590/1981-3821202200030001The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to KnowLorena Barberiahttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6319-543XNatalia de Paula Moreirahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-8544-1133Rebeca de Jesus Carvalhohttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-4654-804XMaria Leticia Claro Oliveirahttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1305-3278Isabel Seelaender Costa Rosahttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8480-5196Marcela Zamudiohttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9474-8383Several recent studies have investigated if support for Jair Bolsonaro in the presidential election of 2018 is positively associated with COVID-19 infections and deaths in Brazil. In these studies, COVID-19 outcomes in 2020 and 2021 are the dependent variables, and votes for Jair Bolsonaro in the 2018 presidential election (as a proxy for ideology) are the key explanatory variable. This article discusses why ecological research designs are difficult to test empirically. We discuss why correlations between vote shares and COVID-19 outcomes using aggregate data can produce biased inferences, and we specifically focus on measurement error, aggregation bias, and spatial and temporal dynamics.https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/article/the-relationship-between-ideology-and-covid-19-deaths-what-we-know-and-what-we-still-need-to-know/ecological inferencemeasurement erroromitted variable biastemporal dynamics |
| spellingShingle | Lorena Barberia Natalia de Paula Moreira Rebeca de Jesus Carvalho Maria Leticia Claro Oliveira Isabel Seelaender Costa Rosa Marcela Zamudio The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know Brazilian Political Science Review ecological inference measurement error omitted variable bias temporal dynamics |
| title | The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know |
| title_full | The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know |
| title_fullStr | The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know |
| title_full_unstemmed | The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know |
| title_short | The Relationship between Ideology and COVID-19 Deaths: What We Know and What We Still Need to Know |
| title_sort | relationship between ideology and covid 19 deaths what we know and what we still need to know |
| topic | ecological inference measurement error omitted variable bias temporal dynamics |
| url | https://brazilianpoliticalsciencereview.org/article/the-relationship-between-ideology-and-covid-19-deaths-what-we-know-and-what-we-still-need-to-know/ |
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