Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock

Early prediction of disease severity helps clinicians prevent adverse events and/or minimize losses in the event of a life-threatening complication. This provision fully applies to refractory septic shock, in which norepinephrine administration at a dose exceeding 0.5 μg/kg-1/min-1 is needed to main...

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Main Authors: А. А. Kochkin, M. Ya. Yadgarov, L. B. Berikashvili, S. N. Perekhodov, V. V. Likhvantsev
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: New Terra Publishing House 2021-07-01
Series:Вестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vair-journal.com/jour/article/view/536
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author А. А. Kochkin
M. Ya. Yadgarov
L. B. Berikashvili
S. N. Perekhodov
V. V. Likhvantsev
author_facet А. А. Kochkin
M. Ya. Yadgarov
L. B. Berikashvili
S. N. Perekhodov
V. V. Likhvantsev
author_sort А. А. Kochkin
collection DOAJ
description Early prediction of disease severity helps clinicians prevent adverse events and/or minimize losses in the event of a life-threatening complication. This provision fully applies to refractory septic shock, in which norepinephrine administration at a dose exceeding 0.5 μg/kg-1/min-1 is needed to maintain mean arterial pressure.The objective: to determine predictors of lethal outcomes in patients with refractory septic shock.Subjects and methods. A retrospective study included 79 patients with refractory septic shock aged from 42 to 74 years (59.7 ± 7.8), with severity of the condition as per SOFA varying from 8 to 16 scores. The predictive value of indicators was assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses.Results. In multivariate analysis, the only significant predictor of an unfavorable outcome was the SOFA score (adj. OR: 1.626 [95% CI: 1.313; 2.014], p < 0.001). Other putative indicators (age, oxygenation index, lactate and procalcitonin concentrations, and norepinephrine dose) had no predictive value.Conclusion: The SOFA score is an independent predictor of lethality in adult patients with refractory septic shock (аdj. OR: 1.26 [95% CI: 1.313; 2.014], p < 0.001). According to the results of the ROC analysis, along with SOFA, norepinephrine dose was also a significant predictor (AUC 0.989 [95% CI 0.934; 1.000], p < 0.001).
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spelling doaj.art-5119f9c385f4473eb439b9f47b6600cf2023-09-03T10:33:10ZrusNew Terra Publishing HouseВестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии2078-56582541-86532021-07-01183303510.21292/2078-5658-2021-18-3-30-35447Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic ShockА. А. Kochkin0M. Ya. Yadgarov1L. B. Berikashvili2S. N. Perekhodov3V. V. Likhvantsev4Московский областной научно-исследовательский клинический институт им. М. Ф. ВладимирскогоНИИ Общей реаниматологии им. В. А. Неговского ФНКЦ РРНИИ Общей реаниматологии им. В. А. Неговского ФНКЦ РРМосковский государственный медико-стоматологический университет им. А. И. ЕвдокимоваМосковский областной научно-исследовательский клинический институт им. М. Ф. Владимирского; НИИ Общей реаниматологии им. В. А. Неговского ФНКЦ РРEarly prediction of disease severity helps clinicians prevent adverse events and/or minimize losses in the event of a life-threatening complication. This provision fully applies to refractory septic shock, in which norepinephrine administration at a dose exceeding 0.5 μg/kg-1/min-1 is needed to maintain mean arterial pressure.The objective: to determine predictors of lethal outcomes in patients with refractory septic shock.Subjects and methods. A retrospective study included 79 patients with refractory septic shock aged from 42 to 74 years (59.7 ± 7.8), with severity of the condition as per SOFA varying from 8 to 16 scores. The predictive value of indicators was assessed using univariate and multivariate analyses.Results. In multivariate analysis, the only significant predictor of an unfavorable outcome was the SOFA score (adj. OR: 1.626 [95% CI: 1.313; 2.014], p < 0.001). Other putative indicators (age, oxygenation index, lactate and procalcitonin concentrations, and norepinephrine dose) had no predictive value.Conclusion: The SOFA score is an independent predictor of lethality in adult patients with refractory septic shock (аdj. OR: 1.26 [95% CI: 1.313; 2.014], p < 0.001). According to the results of the ROC analysis, along with SOFA, norepinephrine dose was also a significant predictor (AUC 0.989 [95% CI 0.934; 1.000], p < 0.001).https://www.vair-journal.com/jour/article/view/536септический шокпредикторы летальности при септическом шокерефрактерный шок
spellingShingle А. А. Kochkin
M. Ya. Yadgarov
L. B. Berikashvili
S. N. Perekhodov
V. V. Likhvantsev
Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock
Вестник анестезиологии и реаниматологии
септический шок
предикторы летальности при септическом шоке
рефрактерный шок
title Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock
title_full Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock
title_fullStr Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock
title_short Predictors of Lethal Outcomes in Patients with Refractory Septic Shock
title_sort predictors of lethal outcomes in patients with refractory septic shock
topic септический шок
предикторы летальности при септическом шоке
рефрактерный шок
url https://www.vair-journal.com/jour/article/view/536
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AT snperekhodov predictorsoflethaloutcomesinpatientswithrefractorysepticshock
AT vvlikhvantsev predictorsoflethaloutcomesinpatientswithrefractorysepticshock