Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures

Extreme weather is known to cause failure bunching in electrical transmission systems. However, protection systems can also contribute to the worsening of the system state through various failure modes—spontaneous, missing or unwanted operation. The latter two types of failures only occur when an in...

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Main Authors: Erlend Sandø Kiel, Gerd Hovin Kjølle
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/1/182
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author Erlend Sandø Kiel
Gerd Hovin Kjølle
author_facet Erlend Sandø Kiel
Gerd Hovin Kjølle
author_sort Erlend Sandø Kiel
collection DOAJ
description Extreme weather is known to cause failure bunching in electrical transmission systems. However, protection systems can also contribute to the worsening of the system state through various failure modes—spontaneous, missing or unwanted operation. The latter two types of failures only occur when an initial failure has happened, and thus are more likely to happen when the probability of failure of transmission lines is high, such as in an extreme weather scenario. This causes an exacerbation of failure bunching effects, increasing the risk of blackouts, or High Impact Low Probability (HILP) events. This paper describes a method to model transmission line failure rates, considering both protection system reliability and extreme weather exposure. A case study is presented using the IEEE 24 bus Reliability Test System (RTS) test system. The case study, using both an approximate method as well as a time-series approach to calculate reliability indices, demonstrates both a compact generalization of including protection system failures in reliability analysis, as well as the interaction between weather exposure and protection system failures and its impact on power system reliability indices. The results show that the inclusion of protection system failures can have a large impact on the estimated occurrence of higher order contingencies for adjacent lines, especially for lines with correlated weather exposure.
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spelling doaj.art-511c4bbff8864bd5ac1740f5db1135b32023-11-21T02:44:30ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-12-0111118210.3390/app11010182Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System FailuresErlend Sandø Kiel0Gerd Hovin Kjølle1Department of Electric Power Engineering, Faculty of Information Technology and Electrical Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), 7491 Trondheim, NorwaySINTEF Energy Research, 7034 Trondheim, NorwayExtreme weather is known to cause failure bunching in electrical transmission systems. However, protection systems can also contribute to the worsening of the system state through various failure modes—spontaneous, missing or unwanted operation. The latter two types of failures only occur when an initial failure has happened, and thus are more likely to happen when the probability of failure of transmission lines is high, such as in an extreme weather scenario. This causes an exacerbation of failure bunching effects, increasing the risk of blackouts, or High Impact Low Probability (HILP) events. This paper describes a method to model transmission line failure rates, considering both protection system reliability and extreme weather exposure. A case study is presented using the IEEE 24 bus Reliability Test System (RTS) test system. The case study, using both an approximate method as well as a time-series approach to calculate reliability indices, demonstrates both a compact generalization of including protection system failures in reliability analysis, as well as the interaction between weather exposure and protection system failures and its impact on power system reliability indices. The results show that the inclusion of protection system failures can have a large impact on the estimated occurrence of higher order contingencies for adjacent lines, especially for lines with correlated weather exposure.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/1/182protection systemsfailure bunchingextreme weatherreliabilityHILPextraordinary events
spellingShingle Erlend Sandø Kiel
Gerd Hovin Kjølle
Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
Applied Sciences
protection systems
failure bunching
extreme weather
reliability
HILP
extraordinary events
title Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
title_full Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
title_fullStr Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
title_full_unstemmed Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
title_short Reliability of Supply and the Impact of Weather Exposure and Protection System Failures
title_sort reliability of supply and the impact of weather exposure and protection system failures
topic protection systems
failure bunching
extreme weather
reliability
HILP
extraordinary events
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/1/182
work_keys_str_mv AT erlendsandøkiel reliabilityofsupplyandtheimpactofweatherexposureandprotectionsystemfailures
AT gerdhovinkjølle reliabilityofsupplyandtheimpactofweatherexposureandprotectionsystemfailures