Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms

In the diffusion approximation of the neutral Wright–Fisher model, the expected time until fixation or loss of a neutral allele is proportional to the initial entropy of the distribution of the allele in the population. No explanation is known for this coincidence. In this paper, we show that the ra...

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Main Authors: Luca Ferretti, Paolo Ribeca
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Genes
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4425/14/9/1751
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author Luca Ferretti
Paolo Ribeca
author_facet Luca Ferretti
Paolo Ribeca
author_sort Luca Ferretti
collection DOAJ
description In the diffusion approximation of the neutral Wright–Fisher model, the expected time until fixation or loss of a neutral allele is proportional to the initial entropy of the distribution of the allele in the population. No explanation is known for this coincidence. In this paper, we show that the rate of entropy dissipation is proportional to the number of segregating alleles. Since the final fixed state has zero entropy, the expected lifetime of segregating alleles is proportional to the initial entropy in the system. We show that classical formulae on the average time to loss of segregating alleles and the expected time to fixation of the last segregating allele stem from these properties of the diffusion process. We also extend our results to the case of population size changing in time. The dissipation of heterozygosity and entropy shows that superlinear population growth leads to infinite expected fixation times, i.e., neutral alleles in fast-growing populations could segregate forever without ever becoming fixed or disappearing by genetic drift.
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spelling doaj.art-5154ef9690054a23bc85dbc486063d342023-11-19T10:53:12ZengMDPI AGGenes2073-44252023-09-01149175110.3390/genes14091751Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral PolymorphismsLuca Ferretti0Paolo Ribeca1Pandemic Sciences Institute and Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, UKBiomathematics and Statistics Scotland, The James Hutton Institute, Edinburgh EH9 3FD, UKIn the diffusion approximation of the neutral Wright–Fisher model, the expected time until fixation or loss of a neutral allele is proportional to the initial entropy of the distribution of the allele in the population. No explanation is known for this coincidence. In this paper, we show that the rate of entropy dissipation is proportional to the number of segregating alleles. Since the final fixed state has zero entropy, the expected lifetime of segregating alleles is proportional to the initial entropy in the system. We show that classical formulae on the average time to loss of segregating alleles and the expected time to fixation of the last segregating allele stem from these properties of the diffusion process. We also extend our results to the case of population size changing in time. The dissipation of heterozygosity and entropy shows that superlinear population growth leads to infinite expected fixation times, i.e., neutral alleles in fast-growing populations could segregate forever without ever becoming fixed or disappearing by genetic drift.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4425/14/9/1751diffusion approximationfixation timefixation probabilitygenetic driftsuperlinear population growthallelic entropy
spellingShingle Luca Ferretti
Paolo Ribeca
Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms
Genes
diffusion approximation
fixation time
fixation probability
genetic drift
superlinear population growth
allelic entropy
title Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms
title_full Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms
title_fullStr Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms
title_full_unstemmed Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms
title_short Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms
title_sort allelic entropy and times until loss or fixation of neutral polymorphisms
topic diffusion approximation
fixation time
fixation probability
genetic drift
superlinear population growth
allelic entropy
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4425/14/9/1751
work_keys_str_mv AT lucaferretti allelicentropyandtimesuntillossorfixationofneutralpolymorphisms
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