EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE

Aim. Zoning of the territory of Nizhny Novgorod region by risk of HFRS infection using Maxent method. Materials and methods. Data from Centre of Hygiene and Epidemiology in Nizhny Novgorod region for each case of the HFRS for 2010 - 2016, data on environment (Bioclim), data on vegetation activity (M...

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Main Authors: L. A. Solntsev, V. M. Dubyansky
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Central Research Institute for Epidemiology 2017-10-01
Series:Журнал микробиологии, эпидемиологии и иммунобиологии
Subjects:
Online Access:https://microbiol.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/198
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author L. A. Solntsev
V. M. Dubyansky
author_facet L. A. Solntsev
V. M. Dubyansky
author_sort L. A. Solntsev
collection DOAJ
description Aim. Zoning of the territory of Nizhny Novgorod region by risk of HFRS infection using Maxent method. Materials and methods. Data from Centre of Hygiene and Epidemiology in Nizhny Novgorod region for each case of the HFRS for 2010 - 2016, data on environment (Bioclim), data on vegetation activity (MODIS) were used. ArcGIS 10.2.2 and Maxent 3.3.3k packages were used. Results. Model for evaluation of potential risk of HFRS in Nizhny Novgorod was developed and validated. Conclusion. The data obtained do not contradict the observed spatial localization of the cases of HFRS infection (prediction accuracy over 75%), detected connection between spatial localization of HFRS cases and combination of environment factors and allow to predict changes in borders of potentially dangerous segments after environmental changes.
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spelling doaj.art-5159afee03214efe9735a021df34d9a72022-12-22T02:24:49ZrusCentral Research Institute for EpidemiologyЖурнал микробиологии, эпидемиологии и иммунобиологии0372-93112686-76132017-10-0105394510.36233/0372-9311-2017-5-39-45198EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLEL. A. Solntsev0V. M. Dubyansky1Blokhina Research Institute of Epidemiology and MicrobiologyStavropol Institute of Plague ControlAim. Zoning of the territory of Nizhny Novgorod region by risk of HFRS infection using Maxent method. Materials and methods. Data from Centre of Hygiene and Epidemiology in Nizhny Novgorod region for each case of the HFRS for 2010 - 2016, data on environment (Bioclim), data on vegetation activity (MODIS) were used. ArcGIS 10.2.2 and Maxent 3.3.3k packages were used. Results. Model for evaluation of potential risk of HFRS in Nizhny Novgorod was developed and validated. Conclusion. The data obtained do not contradict the observed spatial localization of the cases of HFRS infection (prediction accuracy over 75%), detected connection between spatial localization of HFRS cases and combination of environment factors and allow to predict changes in borders of potentially dangerous segments after environmental changes.https://microbiol.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/198maxentbioclim. ndvihfrsmaxentspatial modellingbioclimndvigis
spellingShingle L. A. Solntsev
V. M. Dubyansky
EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE
Журнал микробиологии, эпидемиологии и иммунобиологии
maxent
bioclim. ndvi
hfrs
maxent
spatial modelling
bioclim
ndvi
gis
title EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE
title_full EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE
title_fullStr EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE
title_full_unstemmed EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE
title_short EXPERIENCE OF USING MAXIMAL ENTROPY METHOD (MAXENT) FOR ZONING OF THE TERRITORY BY HERS RISK USING NIZHNY NOVGOROD REGION AS AN EXAMPLE
title_sort experience of using maximal entropy method maxent for zoning of the territory by hers risk using nizhny novgorod region as an example
topic maxent
bioclim. ndvi
hfrs
maxent
spatial modelling
bioclim
ndvi
gis
url https://microbiol.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/198
work_keys_str_mv AT lasolntsev experienceofusingmaximalentropymethodmaxentforzoningoftheterritorybyhersriskusingnizhnynovgorodregionasanexample
AT vmdubyansky experienceofusingmaximalentropymethodmaxentforzoningoftheterritorybyhersriskusingnizhnynovgorodregionasanexample