Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning

The analysis of business processes based on their observed behavior recorded in event logs can be performed with process mining. This method can discover, monitor, and improve processes in various application domains. However, the process models produced by typical process discovery methods are diff...

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Main Authors: Alexandros Bousdekis, Athanasios Kerasiotis, Silvester Kotsias, Georgia Theodoropoulou, Georgios Miaoulis, Djamchid Ghazanfarpour
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/15/6931
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author Alexandros Bousdekis
Athanasios Kerasiotis
Silvester Kotsias
Georgia Theodoropoulou
Georgios Miaoulis
Djamchid Ghazanfarpour
author_facet Alexandros Bousdekis
Athanasios Kerasiotis
Silvester Kotsias
Georgia Theodoropoulou
Georgios Miaoulis
Djamchid Ghazanfarpour
author_sort Alexandros Bousdekis
collection DOAJ
description The analysis of business processes based on their observed behavior recorded in event logs can be performed with process mining. This method can discover, monitor, and improve processes in various application domains. However, the process models produced by typical process discovery methods are difficult for humans to understand due to their high complexity (the so-called “spaghetti-like” process models). Moreover, these methods cannot handle uncertainty or perform predictions because of their deterministic nature. Recently, researchers have been developing predictive approaches for running business cases of processes. This paper focuses on developing a predictive business process monitoring approach using reinforcement learning (RL), which has been successful in other contexts but not yet explored in this area. The proposed approach is evaluated in the banking sector through a use case.
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spelling doaj.art-51649d2ccbc64d828aa4263f077830302023-11-18T23:36:24ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202023-08-012315693110.3390/s23156931Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement LearningAlexandros Bousdekis0Athanasios Kerasiotis1Silvester Kotsias2Georgia Theodoropoulou3Georgios Miaoulis4Djamchid Ghazanfarpour5Department of Informatics and Computer Engineering, University of West Attica, 12242 Egaleo, GreeceDepartment of Informatics and Computer Engineering, University of West Attica, 12242 Egaleo, GreeceDepartment of Informatics and Computer Engineering, University of West Attica, 12242 Egaleo, GreeceDepartment of Informatics and Computer Engineering, University of West Attica, 12242 Egaleo, GreeceDepartment of Informatics and Computer Engineering, University of West Attica, 12242 Egaleo, GreeceDepartment of Informatics, University of Limoges, 87032 Limoges, FranceThe analysis of business processes based on their observed behavior recorded in event logs can be performed with process mining. This method can discover, monitor, and improve processes in various application domains. However, the process models produced by typical process discovery methods are difficult for humans to understand due to their high complexity (the so-called “spaghetti-like” process models). Moreover, these methods cannot handle uncertainty or perform predictions because of their deterministic nature. Recently, researchers have been developing predictive approaches for running business cases of processes. This paper focuses on developing a predictive business process monitoring approach using reinforcement learning (RL), which has been successful in other contexts but not yet explored in this area. The proposed approach is evaluated in the banking sector through a use case.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/15/6931predictive business process monitoringprocess miningbusiness process managementmachine learningdata analytics
spellingShingle Alexandros Bousdekis
Athanasios Kerasiotis
Silvester Kotsias
Georgia Theodoropoulou
Georgios Miaoulis
Djamchid Ghazanfarpour
Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning
Sensors
predictive business process monitoring
process mining
business process management
machine learning
data analytics
title Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning
title_full Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning
title_fullStr Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning
title_full_unstemmed Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning
title_short Modelling and Predictive Monitoring of Business Processes under Uncertainty with Reinforcement Learning
title_sort modelling and predictive monitoring of business processes under uncertainty with reinforcement learning
topic predictive business process monitoring
process mining
business process management
machine learning
data analytics
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/15/6931
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