"Wrong, but useful": negotiating uncertainty in infectious disease modelling.
For infectious disease dynamical models to inform policy for containment of infectious diseases the models must be able to predict; however, it is well recognised that such prediction will never be perfect. Nevertheless, the consensus is that although models are uncertain, some may yet inform effect...
Main Authors: | Robert M Christley, Maggie Mort, Brian Wynne, Jonathan M Wastling, A Louise Heathwaite, Roger Pickup, Zoë Austin, Sophia M Latham |
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2013-01-01
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Series: | PLoS ONE |
Online Access: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/24146851/?tool=EBI |
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