Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models

Abstract The monsoon low‐pressure systems (LPSs) are a major contributor to the rainfall over India. The genesis of LPS in climate models is not well understood. Here, we track the LPS activity in 11 coupled climate models using an automated tracking algorithm and classify their genesis mechanism br...

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Main Authors: K. S. S. Sai Srujan, S. Sandeep, E. Suhas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: American Geophysical Union (AGU) 2021-09-01
Series:Earth and Space Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001741
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author K. S. S. Sai Srujan
S. Sandeep
E. Suhas
author_facet K. S. S. Sai Srujan
S. Sandeep
E. Suhas
author_sort K. S. S. Sai Srujan
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The monsoon low‐pressure systems (LPSs) are a major contributor to the rainfall over India. The genesis of LPS in climate models is not well understood. Here, we track the LPS activity in 11 coupled climate models using an automated tracking algorithm and classify their genesis mechanism broadly into two categories—in situ and downstream. We find that the in situ genesis mechanism dominates in all models, with an average of 56% systems categorized under this category, while 63% of the observed LPS had in situ genesis. The average downstream genesis in the models is 32%, closer to the observed 30%. About 12% and 7% of the LPS genesis could not be attributed to either of the categories in the models and observations, respectively, due to the presence of both types of genesis mechanisms. Although the bulk statistics of the in situ and downstream LPS genesis across the models in boreal summer is comparable to that of observations, substantial inter‐model variability is observed. Also, we find significant differences in the temporal distribution of downstream LPS genesis in models. Although the models realistically capture the percentage of downstream LPS for the whole monsoon season, they tend to simulate a higher number of genesis in the early phase of monsoon as opposed to the observed peak in August and September, which is linked to a stronger Rossby wave activity in the models in June.
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spelling doaj.art-51ff527b3c4f46fdba9434349c610f1b2022-12-22T02:00:27ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Earth and Space Science2333-50842021-09-0189n/an/a10.1029/2021EA001741Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate ModelsK. S. S. Sai Srujan0S. Sandeep1E. Suhas2Centre for Atmospheric Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Delhi New Delhi IndiaCentre for Atmospheric Sciences Indian Institute of Technology Delhi New Delhi IndiaEarth and Climate Sciences Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Pune Pune IndiaAbstract The monsoon low‐pressure systems (LPSs) are a major contributor to the rainfall over India. The genesis of LPS in climate models is not well understood. Here, we track the LPS activity in 11 coupled climate models using an automated tracking algorithm and classify their genesis mechanism broadly into two categories—in situ and downstream. We find that the in situ genesis mechanism dominates in all models, with an average of 56% systems categorized under this category, while 63% of the observed LPS had in situ genesis. The average downstream genesis in the models is 32%, closer to the observed 30%. About 12% and 7% of the LPS genesis could not be attributed to either of the categories in the models and observations, respectively, due to the presence of both types of genesis mechanisms. Although the bulk statistics of the in situ and downstream LPS genesis across the models in boreal summer is comparable to that of observations, substantial inter‐model variability is observed. Also, we find significant differences in the temporal distribution of downstream LPS genesis in models. Although the models realistically capture the percentage of downstream LPS for the whole monsoon season, they tend to simulate a higher number of genesis in the early phase of monsoon as opposed to the observed peak in August and September, which is linked to a stronger Rossby wave activity in the models in June.https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001741monsoonlow‐pressure systemstrackingCMIP5Rossby waves
spellingShingle K. S. S. Sai Srujan
S. Sandeep
E. Suhas
Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models
Earth and Space Science
monsoon
low‐pressure systems
tracking
CMIP5
Rossby waves
title Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models
title_full Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models
title_fullStr Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models
title_full_unstemmed Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models
title_short Downstream and In Situ Genesis of Monsoon Low‐Pressure Systems in Climate Models
title_sort downstream and in situ genesis of monsoon low pressure systems in climate models
topic monsoon
low‐pressure systems
tracking
CMIP5
Rossby waves
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EA001741
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