Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society

Derivatives market has known an enormous and continuous development from the late 1970s, thanks to the most celebrated Black-Scholes-Merton formula. The impact on global economy is also tremendous, but due to the high leverage of speculative option trading there is a perpetual danger of economic col...

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Main Author: Ovidiu TURCOANE
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Inforec Association 2012-01-01
Series:Informatică economică
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.revistaie.ase.ro/content/64/15%20-%20Turcoane.pdf
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author Ovidiu TURCOANE
author_facet Ovidiu TURCOANE
author_sort Ovidiu TURCOANE
collection DOAJ
description Derivatives market has known an enormous and continuous development from the late 1970s, thanks to the most celebrated Black-Scholes-Merton formula. The impact on global economy is also tremendous, but due to the high leverage of speculative option trading there is a perpetual danger of economic collapse. This paper gives a short description of knowledge society and proposes methods for option price estimation based on implied volatility, skewness and kurtosis. ‘Free-lunch’ is hardly achievable if one predicts the option price using the knowledgeable information from the market and there is almost impossible to speculate, rather than to hedge, when trading option.
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spelling doaj.art-521838024bfc4e8ba2356a2a61afcc0c2022-12-21T23:52:30ZengInforec AssociationInformatică economică1453-13051842-80882012-01-01164131141Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge SocietyOvidiu TURCOANEDerivatives market has known an enormous and continuous development from the late 1970s, thanks to the most celebrated Black-Scholes-Merton formula. The impact on global economy is also tremendous, but due to the high leverage of speculative option trading there is a perpetual danger of economic collapse. This paper gives a short description of knowledge society and proposes methods for option price estimation based on implied volatility, skewness and kurtosis. ‘Free-lunch’ is hardly achievable if one predicts the option price using the knowledgeable information from the market and there is almost impossible to speculate, rather than to hedge, when trading option.http://www.revistaie.ase.ro/content/64/15%20-%20Turcoane.pdfEthics; Knowledge Society; Option Pricing; Implied VolatilitySkewnessKurtosis; Minimization Algorithm
spellingShingle Ovidiu TURCOANE
Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society
Informatică economică
Ethics; Knowledge Society; Option Pricing; Implied Volatility
Skewness
Kurtosis; Minimization Algorithm
title Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society
title_full Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society
title_fullStr Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society
title_full_unstemmed Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society
title_short Option Price Estimations and Speculative Trading In Knowledge Society
title_sort option price estimations and speculative trading in knowledge society
topic Ethics; Knowledge Society; Option Pricing; Implied Volatility
Skewness
Kurtosis; Minimization Algorithm
url http://www.revistaie.ase.ro/content/64/15%20-%20Turcoane.pdf
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