Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans

The article is focused on the quantitative analysis of the price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans. The ICCO databases from 1960/1961 to 2005/2006 crop years were used for this analysis. In the investigated time period, the analysis of the price flexibility was based on the autoreg...

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Main Author: Pavel Syrovátka
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Mendel University Press 2009-01-01
Series:Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acta.mendelu.cz/57/6/0267/
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author Pavel Syrovátka
author_facet Pavel Syrovátka
author_sort Pavel Syrovátka
collection DOAJ
description The article is focused on the quantitative analysis of the price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans. The ICCO databases from 1960/1961 to 2005/2006 crop years were used for this analysis. In the investigated time period, the analysis of the price flexibility was based on the autoregressive form of the price model with the log-linear construction: lnpt = 2.6824 − 0.4041 × lnstgt + 0.8301 × lnpt−1 + ut. The values of the parameters of the autoregressive price model were estimated using OLS. The developed model was statistically significant in all evaluated respects (F-test, T-tests and Durbin’s h-test). Within the analysis of the world market for the cocoa beans, the current, dynamic, long-term and long-equilibrium coefficients of price flexibility were evaluated. According to applied log-linear construction of the autoregressive price model, the level of the current price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans was −0.4041, the dynamic price flexibility of the first order achieved the value of −0.3354 and the long-equilibrium price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans takes the value of −2.3784.
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spelling doaj.art-5229eaa7551743689a5d8db40c2182ee2022-12-22T01:09:08ZengMendel University PressActa Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis1211-85162464-83102009-01-0157626727410.11118/actaun200957060267Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beansPavel Syrovátka0Ústav regionální a podnikové ekonomiky, Mendelova zemědělská a lesnická univerzita v Brně, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Česká republikaThe article is focused on the quantitative analysis of the price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans. The ICCO databases from 1960/1961 to 2005/2006 crop years were used for this analysis. In the investigated time period, the analysis of the price flexibility was based on the autoregressive form of the price model with the log-linear construction: lnpt = 2.6824 − 0.4041 × lnstgt + 0.8301 × lnpt−1 + ut. The values of the parameters of the autoregressive price model were estimated using OLS. The developed model was statistically significant in all evaluated respects (F-test, T-tests and Durbin’s h-test). Within the analysis of the world market for the cocoa beans, the current, dynamic, long-term and long-equilibrium coefficients of price flexibility were evaluated. According to applied log-linear construction of the autoregressive price model, the level of the current price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans was −0.4041, the dynamic price flexibility of the first order achieved the value of −0.3354 and the long-equilibrium price flexibility of the world market for the cocoa beans takes the value of −2.3784.https://acta.mendelu.cz/57/6/0267/world market for cocoa beansautoregressive price modelprice flexibility of cocoa marketcurrent price flexibilitydynamic price flexibilitylong-term price flexibility
spellingShingle Pavel Syrovátka
Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
world market for cocoa beans
autoregressive price model
price flexibility of cocoa market
current price flexibility
dynamic price flexibility
long-term price flexibility
title Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
title_full Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
title_fullStr Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
title_full_unstemmed Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
title_short Price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
title_sort price flexibility of world market for cocoa beans
topic world market for cocoa beans
autoregressive price model
price flexibility of cocoa market
current price flexibility
dynamic price flexibility
long-term price flexibility
url https://acta.mendelu.cz/57/6/0267/
work_keys_str_mv AT pavelsyrovatka priceflexibilityofworldmarketforcocoabeans