Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe

Abstract We describe data collected among 138 migration experts about the repercussions of scenarios of social change on migration between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe, during the period 2021–2030. Scenarios include changes in the cultural, demographic, economic, and political deter...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Michaël Boissonneault, Rafael Costa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-09-01
Series:Scientific Data
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02532-1
_version_ 1797453939575095296
author Michaël Boissonneault
Rafael Costa
author_facet Michaël Boissonneault
Rafael Costa
author_sort Michaël Boissonneault
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We describe data collected among 138 migration experts about the repercussions of scenarios of social change on migration between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe, during the period 2021–2030. Scenarios include changes in the cultural, demographic, economic, and political determinants of migration in sending and receiving countries. Assessments focus on the change in the number of family, work, and return migrants, the number of refugees, and the likelihood of achieving safe, orderly, and regular migration. Experts were at the moment of the survey active in European research centers or European (supra-) national governmental or civil society organizations. The survey features a factorial design, which allows for identifying a causal relationship between the experts’ assessments and the scenarios of social change. Our data may be used to estimate projection models of future migration flows, map out what experts consider as critical migration issues for the region, and identify areas of agreement or disagreement between them. As such, our dataset may illuminate decision-making regarding migration policies in Europe and beyond.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T15:30:07Z
format Article
id doaj.art-52339b78cf224f43ba2a96faccddf24a
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2052-4463
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T15:30:07Z
publishDate 2023-09-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Data
spelling doaj.art-52339b78cf224f43ba2a96faccddf24a2023-11-26T12:18:21ZengNature PortfolioScientific Data2052-44632023-09-011011910.1038/s41597-023-02532-1Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and EuropeMichaël Boissonneault0Rafael Costa1Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI-KNAW)/University of GroningenNetherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute (NIDI-KNAW)/University of GroningenAbstract We describe data collected among 138 migration experts about the repercussions of scenarios of social change on migration between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe, during the period 2021–2030. Scenarios include changes in the cultural, demographic, economic, and political determinants of migration in sending and receiving countries. Assessments focus on the change in the number of family, work, and return migrants, the number of refugees, and the likelihood of achieving safe, orderly, and regular migration. Experts were at the moment of the survey active in European research centers or European (supra-) national governmental or civil society organizations. The survey features a factorial design, which allows for identifying a causal relationship between the experts’ assessments and the scenarios of social change. Our data may be used to estimate projection models of future migration flows, map out what experts consider as critical migration issues for the region, and identify areas of agreement or disagreement between them. As such, our dataset may illuminate decision-making regarding migration policies in Europe and beyond.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02532-1
spellingShingle Michaël Boissonneault
Rafael Costa
Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe
Scientific Data
title Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe
title_full Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe
title_fullStr Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe
title_full_unstemmed Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe
title_short Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe
title_sort experts assessments of migration scenarios between the middle east north africa and europe
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02532-1
work_keys_str_mv AT michaelboissonneault expertsassessmentsofmigrationscenariosbetweenthemiddleeastnorthafricaandeurope
AT rafaelcosta expertsassessmentsofmigrationscenariosbetweenthemiddleeastnorthafricaandeurope