Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming

The East Siberian Arctic shelf is the area where the largest natural gas reserves are concentrated. The formation of permafrost of the Arctic shelf during the Ice Age contributed to the emergence of a zone of stable existence of gas hydrates in the sedimentary layer, and subsequent flooding of the s...

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Main Authors: Vladimir Cheverda, Denis Bratchikov, Kirill Gadylshin, Elena Golubeva, Valentina Malakhova, Galina Reshetova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-11-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/23/11929
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author Vladimir Cheverda
Denis Bratchikov
Kirill Gadylshin
Elena Golubeva
Valentina Malakhova
Galina Reshetova
author_facet Vladimir Cheverda
Denis Bratchikov
Kirill Gadylshin
Elena Golubeva
Valentina Malakhova
Galina Reshetova
author_sort Vladimir Cheverda
collection DOAJ
description The East Siberian Arctic shelf is the area where the largest natural gas reserves are concentrated. The formation of permafrost of the Arctic shelf during the Ice Age contributed to the emergence of a zone of stable existence of gas hydrates in the sedimentary layer, and subsequent flooding of the shelf led to its gradual degradation, the thawing of gas hydrates and the subsequent emissions of methane into the atmosphere. In the first part of the paper, we use mathematical modeling to study the processes of the formation of subsea permafrost on the Arctic shelf considering changes in the sea levels over the past 200 thousand years. Numerical simulations show the influence of climate warming up to 2200 on the degradation of subsea permafrost and the violation of the conditions for the stable existence of methane hydrates in bottom sediments using the example of the East Siberian shelf. The second part of the paper proposes a method for seismic monitoring of the state of gas hydrates based on a solution of multi-parameter inverse seismic problems. In particular, the degree of attenuation of seismic energy is one of the objective parameters for assessing the consolidation of gas hydrates: the closer they are to the beginning of decomposition, the higher the attenuation and, hence, the lower the quality factor. In this publication, we do not solve a multi-parameter inverse seismic problem for a real geological object. This would be impossible due to the lack of necessary data. Instead, we focus on substantiating the possibility of correct solutions for the problem of the reconstruction of the absorption and velocities for a viscoelastic medium in relation to the problem of monitoring the state of gas hydrate deposits. As noted in a range of publications, the thawing of gas hydrates leads to an increase in the fluid saturation of the geological medium followed by an increase in the absorption of seismic energy—that is, a decrease in the quality factor. Thus, the methods of seismic monitoring of the state of gas hydrates to predict the possibility of developing dangerous scenarios should be based on solving a multi-parameter inverse seismic problem. This publication is devoted to the presentation of this approach.
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spelling doaj.art-52dcaa9141f84dd290d888ea89c1a1d02023-11-24T10:28:08ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-11-0112231192910.3390/app122311929Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global WarmingVladimir Cheverda0Denis Bratchikov1Kirill Gadylshin2Elena Golubeva3Valentina Malakhova4Galina Reshetova5Sobolev Institute of Mathematics SB RAS, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaSobolev Institute of Mathematics SB RAS, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaTrofimuk Institute of Petroleum Geology and Geophysics SB RAS, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaInstitute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaInstitute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaInstitute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics SB RAS, 630090 Novosibirsk, RussiaThe East Siberian Arctic shelf is the area where the largest natural gas reserves are concentrated. The formation of permafrost of the Arctic shelf during the Ice Age contributed to the emergence of a zone of stable existence of gas hydrates in the sedimentary layer, and subsequent flooding of the shelf led to its gradual degradation, the thawing of gas hydrates and the subsequent emissions of methane into the atmosphere. In the first part of the paper, we use mathematical modeling to study the processes of the formation of subsea permafrost on the Arctic shelf considering changes in the sea levels over the past 200 thousand years. Numerical simulations show the influence of climate warming up to 2200 on the degradation of subsea permafrost and the violation of the conditions for the stable existence of methane hydrates in bottom sediments using the example of the East Siberian shelf. The second part of the paper proposes a method for seismic monitoring of the state of gas hydrates based on a solution of multi-parameter inverse seismic problems. In particular, the degree of attenuation of seismic energy is one of the objective parameters for assessing the consolidation of gas hydrates: the closer they are to the beginning of decomposition, the higher the attenuation and, hence, the lower the quality factor. In this publication, we do not solve a multi-parameter inverse seismic problem for a real geological object. This would be impossible due to the lack of necessary data. Instead, we focus on substantiating the possibility of correct solutions for the problem of the reconstruction of the absorption and velocities for a viscoelastic medium in relation to the problem of monitoring the state of gas hydrate deposits. As noted in a range of publications, the thawing of gas hydrates leads to an increase in the fluid saturation of the geological medium followed by an increase in the absorption of seismic energy—that is, a decrease in the quality factor. Thus, the methods of seismic monitoring of the state of gas hydrates to predict the possibility of developing dangerous scenarios should be based on solving a multi-parameter inverse seismic problem. This publication is devoted to the presentation of this approach.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/23/11929viscoelasticityseismic attenuationgeneralized standard linear solidmulti-parameter inverse problemsubsea permafrostArctic shelf
spellingShingle Vladimir Cheverda
Denis Bratchikov
Kirill Gadylshin
Elena Golubeva
Valentina Malakhova
Galina Reshetova
Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming
Applied Sciences
viscoelasticity
seismic attenuation
generalized standard linear solid
multi-parameter inverse problem
subsea permafrost
Arctic shelf
title Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming
title_full Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming
title_fullStr Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming
title_full_unstemmed Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming
title_short Subsea Methane Hydrates: Origin and Monitoring the Impacts of Global Warming
title_sort subsea methane hydrates origin and monitoring the impacts of global warming
topic viscoelasticity
seismic attenuation
generalized standard linear solid
multi-parameter inverse problem
subsea permafrost
Arctic shelf
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/23/11929
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