Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model

Maize lethal necrosis (MLN), maize streak virus (MSV), grey leaf spot (GLS) and turcicum leaf blight (TLB) are among the major diseases affecting maize grain yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Crop models allow researchers to estimate the impact of pest damage on yield under different management and envi...

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Main Authors: William D. Batchelor, L. M. Suresh, Xiaoxing Zhen, Yoseph Beyene, Mwaura Wilson, Gideon Kruseman, Boddupalli Prasanna
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-05-01
Series:Agronomy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/10/5/710
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author William D. Batchelor
L. M. Suresh
Xiaoxing Zhen
Yoseph Beyene
Mwaura Wilson
Gideon Kruseman
Boddupalli Prasanna
author_facet William D. Batchelor
L. M. Suresh
Xiaoxing Zhen
Yoseph Beyene
Mwaura Wilson
Gideon Kruseman
Boddupalli Prasanna
author_sort William D. Batchelor
collection DOAJ
description Maize lethal necrosis (MLN), maize streak virus (MSV), grey leaf spot (GLS) and turcicum leaf blight (TLB) are among the major diseases affecting maize grain yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Crop models allow researchers to estimate the impact of pest damage on yield under different management and environments. The CERES-Maize model distributed with DSSAT v4.7 has the capability to simulate the impact of major diseases on maize crop growth and yield. The purpose of this study was to develop and test a method to simulate the impact of MLN on maize growth and yield. A field experiment consisting of 17 maize hybrids with different levels of MLN tolerance was planted under MLN virus-inoculated and non-inoculated conditions in 2016 and 2018 at the MLN Screening Facility in Naivasha, Kenya. Time series disease progress scores were recorded and translated into daily damage, including leaf necrosis and death, as inputs in the crop model. The model genetic coefficients were calibrated for each hybrid using the 2016 non-inoculated treatment and evaluated using the 2016 and 2018 inoculated treatments. Overall, the model performed well in simulating the impact of MLN damage on maize grain yield. The model gave an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.97 for simulated vs. observed yield for the calibration dataset and an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.92 for the evaluation dataset. The simulation techniques developed in this study can be potentially used for other major diseases of maize. The key to simulating other diseases is to develop the appropriate relationship between disease severity scores, percent leaf chlorosis and dead leaf area.
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spelling doaj.art-52e5b2897c6a451aa6c3ec65769b74b62023-11-20T00:34:20ZengMDPI AGAgronomy2073-43952020-05-0110571010.3390/agronomy10050710Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize ModelWilliam D. Batchelor0L. M. Suresh1Xiaoxing Zhen2Yoseph Beyene3Mwaura Wilson4Gideon Kruseman5Boddupalli Prasanna6Biosystems Engineering Department, Auburn University, Auburn, AL 36849, USAInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, KenyaCrop, Soil and Environmental Sciences Department, Auburn University, Auburn, AL 36849, USAInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, KenyaInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, KenyaCIMMYT, Km 45 México-Veracruz, El Batán, 56237 Texcoco, MexicoInternational Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF), United Nations Avenue, Gigiri. P.O. Box 1041-00621, Nairobi, KenyaMaize lethal necrosis (MLN), maize streak virus (MSV), grey leaf spot (GLS) and turcicum leaf blight (TLB) are among the major diseases affecting maize grain yields in sub-Saharan Africa. Crop models allow researchers to estimate the impact of pest damage on yield under different management and environments. The CERES-Maize model distributed with DSSAT v4.7 has the capability to simulate the impact of major diseases on maize crop growth and yield. The purpose of this study was to develop and test a method to simulate the impact of MLN on maize growth and yield. A field experiment consisting of 17 maize hybrids with different levels of MLN tolerance was planted under MLN virus-inoculated and non-inoculated conditions in 2016 and 2018 at the MLN Screening Facility in Naivasha, Kenya. Time series disease progress scores were recorded and translated into daily damage, including leaf necrosis and death, as inputs in the crop model. The model genetic coefficients were calibrated for each hybrid using the 2016 non-inoculated treatment and evaluated using the 2016 and 2018 inoculated treatments. Overall, the model performed well in simulating the impact of MLN damage on maize grain yield. The model gave an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.97 for simulated vs. observed yield for the calibration dataset and an R<sup>2</sup> of 0.92 for the evaluation dataset. The simulation techniques developed in this study can be potentially used for other major diseases of maize. The key to simulating other diseases is to develop the appropriate relationship between disease severity scores, percent leaf chlorosis and dead leaf area.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/10/5/710Crop modelingdisease simulationDSSAT
spellingShingle William D. Batchelor
L. M. Suresh
Xiaoxing Zhen
Yoseph Beyene
Mwaura Wilson
Gideon Kruseman
Boddupalli Prasanna
Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model
Agronomy
Crop modeling
disease simulation
DSSAT
title Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model
title_full Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model
title_fullStr Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model
title_short Simulation of Maize Lethal Necrosis (MLN) Damage Using the CERES-Maize Model
title_sort simulation of maize lethal necrosis mln damage using the ceres maize model
topic Crop modeling
disease simulation
DSSAT
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4395/10/5/710
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