An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions

The traditional agent-based model requires high computing power of the central processing unit. Thus, an improved agent-based model combined with the discrete event simulation method is proposed. The result of the equation-based Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Asymptomatic-Recovered (SEIAR) model with...

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Main Authors: Hongbin Qiu, Yong Chen, Sirui Ding, Wenchao Yi, Ruifeng Lv, Cheng Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2021-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9541402/
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author Hongbin Qiu
Yong Chen
Sirui Ding
Wenchao Yi
Ruifeng Lv
Cheng Wang
author_facet Hongbin Qiu
Yong Chen
Sirui Ding
Wenchao Yi
Ruifeng Lv
Cheng Wang
author_sort Hongbin Qiu
collection DOAJ
description The traditional agent-based model requires high computing power of the central processing unit. Thus, an improved agent-based model combined with the discrete event simulation method is proposed. The result of the equation-based Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Asymptomatic-Recovered (SEIAR) model with the same parameter combination, which has been demonstrated to be effective, is used to verify the validity of this improved agent-based model. Additionally, an analysis based on simulation results of the Contact Tracing Measure (CTM), Location-Based Checking-Testing Measure (LCTM), Lockdown Measure (LM), Mobile Cabin Isolation and Hospital Measure (MCHM) is presented. The simulation results show that implementing long-term lockdown measures has the best effect on epidemic control. Moreover, according to the simulation results, we inferred that using only nonpharmaceutical epidemic prevention measures may result in a second outbreak of COVID-19 owing to the risk of asymptomatic transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-52e6635d58714f3c949077224885a1282022-12-21T21:25:57ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362021-01-01914372114373310.1109/ACCESS.2021.31142269541402An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical InterventionsHongbin Qiu0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9530-0775Yong Chen1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7778-2731Sirui Ding2Wenchao Yi3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8643-287XRuifeng Lv4Cheng Wang5https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2475-1944College of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaCollege of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaCollege of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaCollege of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaCollege of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaCollege of Mechanical Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, ChinaThe traditional agent-based model requires high computing power of the central processing unit. Thus, an improved agent-based model combined with the discrete event simulation method is proposed. The result of the equation-based Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Asymptomatic-Recovered (SEIAR) model with the same parameter combination, which has been demonstrated to be effective, is used to verify the validity of this improved agent-based model. Additionally, an analysis based on simulation results of the Contact Tracing Measure (CTM), Location-Based Checking-Testing Measure (LCTM), Lockdown Measure (LM), Mobile Cabin Isolation and Hospital Measure (MCHM) is presented. The simulation results show that implementing long-term lockdown measures has the best effect on epidemic control. Moreover, according to the simulation results, we inferred that using only nonpharmaceutical epidemic prevention measures may result in a second outbreak of COVID-19 owing to the risk of asymptomatic transmission.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9541402/Agent-based modelasymptomaticCOVID-19discrete event simulation
spellingShingle Hongbin Qiu
Yong Chen
Sirui Ding
Wenchao Yi
Ruifeng Lv
Cheng Wang
An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions
IEEE Access
Agent-based model
asymptomatic
COVID-19
discrete event simulation
title An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions
title_full An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions
title_fullStr An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions
title_full_unstemmed An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions
title_short An Improved Agent-Based Model Using Discrete Event Simulation for Nonpharmaceutical Interventions
title_sort improved agent based model using discrete event simulation for nonpharmaceutical interventions
topic Agent-based model
asymptomatic
COVID-19
discrete event simulation
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9541402/
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