Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study

Bacteremia is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Timely, appropriate therapy may improve clinical outcomes, and therefore, determining which patients benefit from more comprehensive diagnostic strategies (i.e., direct specimen testing) could be of value. We performed an assessment...

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Main Authors: Tristan T. Timbrook, Cherilyn D. Garner, Kyle D. Hueth, Gerald A. Capraro, Louise Zimmer, Hari P. Dwivedi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-10-01
Series:Diagnostics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/13/20/3174
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author Tristan T. Timbrook
Cherilyn D. Garner
Kyle D. Hueth
Gerald A. Capraro
Louise Zimmer
Hari P. Dwivedi
author_facet Tristan T. Timbrook
Cherilyn D. Garner
Kyle D. Hueth
Gerald A. Capraro
Louise Zimmer
Hari P. Dwivedi
author_sort Tristan T. Timbrook
collection DOAJ
description Bacteremia is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Timely, appropriate therapy may improve clinical outcomes, and therefore, determining which patients benefit from more comprehensive diagnostic strategies (i.e., direct specimen testing) could be of value. We performed an assessment of procalcitonin (PCT) and clinical characteristics in the discrimination of bacteremic hospitalizations. We analyzed 71,105 encounters and 14,846 visits of patients with bacteremia alongside 56,259 without an admission. The area under the receiver—operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for the prediction of bacteremia via procalcitonin was 0.782 (95% CI 0.779–0.787). The prediction modeling of clinical factors with or without PCT resulted in a similar performance to PCT alone. However, the clinically predicted risk of bacteremia stratified by PCT thresholds allowed the targeting of high-incidence bacteremia groups (e.g., ≥50% positivity). The combined use of PCT and clinical characteristics could be useful in diagnostic stewardship by targeting further advanced diagnostic testing in patients with a high predicted probability of bacteremia.
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spelling doaj.art-535d662b02484bbfa682be67944577ff2023-11-19T16:12:19ZengMDPI AGDiagnostics2075-44182023-10-011320317410.3390/diagnostics13203174Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational StudyTristan T. Timbrook0Cherilyn D. Garner1Kyle D. Hueth2Gerald A. Capraro3Louise Zimmer4Hari P. Dwivedi5BioMérieux, Salt Lake City, UT 84104, USABioMérieux, Salt Lake City, UT 84104, USABioMérieux, Salt Lake City, UT 84104, USABioMérieux, Salt Lake City, UT 84104, USABioMérieux, Salt Lake City, UT 84104, USABioMérieux, Salt Lake City, UT 84104, USABacteremia is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Timely, appropriate therapy may improve clinical outcomes, and therefore, determining which patients benefit from more comprehensive diagnostic strategies (i.e., direct specimen testing) could be of value. We performed an assessment of procalcitonin (PCT) and clinical characteristics in the discrimination of bacteremic hospitalizations. We analyzed 71,105 encounters and 14,846 visits of patients with bacteremia alongside 56,259 without an admission. The area under the receiver—operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for the prediction of bacteremia via procalcitonin was 0.782 (95% CI 0.779–0.787). The prediction modeling of clinical factors with or without PCT resulted in a similar performance to PCT alone. However, the clinically predicted risk of bacteremia stratified by PCT thresholds allowed the targeting of high-incidence bacteremia groups (e.g., ≥50% positivity). The combined use of PCT and clinical characteristics could be useful in diagnostic stewardship by targeting further advanced diagnostic testing in patients with a high predicted probability of bacteremia.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/13/20/3174procalcitonindiagnosticsrisk factorsbloodstream infectionblood culture
spellingShingle Tristan T. Timbrook
Cherilyn D. Garner
Kyle D. Hueth
Gerald A. Capraro
Louise Zimmer
Hari P. Dwivedi
Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study
Diagnostics
procalcitonin
diagnostics
risk factors
bloodstream infection
blood culture
title Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study
title_full Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study
title_fullStr Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study
title_full_unstemmed Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study
title_short Procalcitonin and Risk Prediction for Diagnosing Bacteremia in Hospitalized Patients: A Retrospective, National Observational Study
title_sort procalcitonin and risk prediction for diagnosing bacteremia in hospitalized patients a retrospective national observational study
topic procalcitonin
diagnostics
risk factors
bloodstream infection
blood culture
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4418/13/20/3174
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