Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study

Abstract Background Existing evidence on long-term ambient air pollution (AAP) exposure and risk of cardio-respiratory diseases in China is mainly on mortality, and based on area average concentrations from fixed-site monitors for individual exposures. Substantial uncertainty persists, therefore, ab...

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Main Authors: Neil Wright, Katherine Newell, Ka Hung Chan, Simon Gilbert, Alex Hacker, Yan Lu, Yu Guo, Pei Pei, Canqing Yu, Jun Lv, Junshi Chen, Liming Li, Om Kurmi, Zhengming Chen, Kin Bong Hubert Lam, Christiana Kartsonaki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-03-01
Series:Environmental Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-023-00978-9
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author Neil Wright
Katherine Newell
Ka Hung Chan
Simon Gilbert
Alex Hacker
Yan Lu
Yu Guo
Pei Pei
Canqing Yu
Jun Lv
Junshi Chen
Liming Li
Om Kurmi
Zhengming Chen
Kin Bong Hubert Lam
Christiana Kartsonaki
author_facet Neil Wright
Katherine Newell
Ka Hung Chan
Simon Gilbert
Alex Hacker
Yan Lu
Yu Guo
Pei Pei
Canqing Yu
Jun Lv
Junshi Chen
Liming Li
Om Kurmi
Zhengming Chen
Kin Bong Hubert Lam
Christiana Kartsonaki
author_sort Neil Wright
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Existing evidence on long-term ambient air pollution (AAP) exposure and risk of cardio-respiratory diseases in China is mainly on mortality, and based on area average concentrations from fixed-site monitors for individual exposures. Substantial uncertainty persists, therefore, about the shape and strength of the relationship when assessed using more personalised individual exposure data. We aimed to examine the relationships between AAP exposure and risk of cardio-respiratory diseases using predicted local levels of AAP. Methods A prospective study included 50,407 participants aged 30–79 years from Suzhou, China, with concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), fine (PM2.5), and inhalable (PM10) particulate matter, ozone (O3) and carbon monoxide (CO) and incident cases of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (n = 2,563) and respiratory disease (n = 1,764) recorded during 2013–2015. Cox regression models with time-dependent covariates were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for diseases associated with local-level concentrations of AAP exposure, estimated using Bayesian spatio–temporal modelling. Results The study period of 2013–2015 included a total of 135,199 person-years of follow-up for CVD. There was a positive association of AAP, particularly SO2 and O3, with risk of major cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Each 10 µg/m3 increase in SO2 was associated with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.12) for CVD, 1.25 (1.08, 1.44) for COPD and 1.12 (1.02, 1.23) for pneumonia. Similarly, each 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 was associated with adjusted HR of 1.02 (1.01, 1.03) for CVD, 1.03 (1.02, 1.05) for all stroke, and 1.04 (1.02, 1.06) for pneumonia. Conclusions Among adults in urban China, long-term exposure to ambient air pollution is associated with a higher risk of cardio-respiratory disease.
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spelling doaj.art-53aba0e61e7d4696bc24ec756a86f48d2023-04-03T05:39:31ZengBMCEnvironmental Health1476-069X2023-03-0122111110.1186/s12940-023-00978-9Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort studyNeil Wright0Katherine Newell1Ka Hung Chan2Simon Gilbert3Alex Hacker4Yan Lu5Yu Guo6Pei Pei7Canqing Yu8Jun Lv9Junshi Chen10Liming Li11Om Kurmi12Zhengming Chen13Kin Bong Hubert Lam14Christiana Kartsonaki15Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingNCDs Prevention and Control Department, Suzhou CDCChinese Academy of Medical SciencesPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Peking UniversityPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Peking UniversityPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Peking UniversityNational Center for Food Safety Risk AssessmentPeking University Center for Public Health and Epidemic Preparedness and Response, Peking UniversityResearch Centre for Intelligent Healthcare, Coventry UniversityClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingClinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Big Data Institute BuildingAbstract Background Existing evidence on long-term ambient air pollution (AAP) exposure and risk of cardio-respiratory diseases in China is mainly on mortality, and based on area average concentrations from fixed-site monitors for individual exposures. Substantial uncertainty persists, therefore, about the shape and strength of the relationship when assessed using more personalised individual exposure data. We aimed to examine the relationships between AAP exposure and risk of cardio-respiratory diseases using predicted local levels of AAP. Methods A prospective study included 50,407 participants aged 30–79 years from Suzhou, China, with concentrations of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), fine (PM2.5), and inhalable (PM10) particulate matter, ozone (O3) and carbon monoxide (CO) and incident cases of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (n = 2,563) and respiratory disease (n = 1,764) recorded during 2013–2015. Cox regression models with time-dependent covariates were used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for diseases associated with local-level concentrations of AAP exposure, estimated using Bayesian spatio–temporal modelling. Results The study period of 2013–2015 included a total of 135,199 person-years of follow-up for CVD. There was a positive association of AAP, particularly SO2 and O3, with risk of major cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Each 10 µg/m3 increase in SO2 was associated with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.12) for CVD, 1.25 (1.08, 1.44) for COPD and 1.12 (1.02, 1.23) for pneumonia. Similarly, each 10 µg/m3 increase in O3 was associated with adjusted HR of 1.02 (1.01, 1.03) for CVD, 1.03 (1.02, 1.05) for all stroke, and 1.04 (1.02, 1.06) for pneumonia. Conclusions Among adults in urban China, long-term exposure to ambient air pollution is associated with a higher risk of cardio-respiratory disease.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-023-00978-9Air pollutionCardiovascular diseaseRespiratory disease
spellingShingle Neil Wright
Katherine Newell
Ka Hung Chan
Simon Gilbert
Alex Hacker
Yan Lu
Yu Guo
Pei Pei
Canqing Yu
Jun Lv
Junshi Chen
Liming Li
Om Kurmi
Zhengming Chen
Kin Bong Hubert Lam
Christiana Kartsonaki
Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study
Environmental Health
Air pollution
Cardiovascular disease
Respiratory disease
title Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study
title_full Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study
title_short Long-term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio-respiratory disease in China: findings from a prospective cohort study
title_sort long term ambient air pollution exposure and cardio respiratory disease in china findings from a prospective cohort study
topic Air pollution
Cardiovascular disease
Respiratory disease
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-023-00978-9
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