Expert status and performance.
Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience. The social expectation hypothesis argues...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2011-01-01
|
| Series: | PLoS ONE |
| Online Access: | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3146531?pdf=render |
| _version_ | 1828413130652254208 |
|---|---|
| author | Mark A Burgman Marissa McBride Raquel Ashton Andrew Speirs-Bridge Louisa Flander Bonnie Wintle Fiona Fidler Libby Rumpff Charles Twardy |
| author_facet | Mark A Burgman Marissa McBride Raquel Ashton Andrew Speirs-Bridge Louisa Flander Bonnie Wintle Fiona Fidler Libby Rumpff Charles Twardy |
| author_sort | Mark A Burgman |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Expert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience. The social expectation hypothesis argues that more highly regarded and more experienced experts will give better advice. We asked experts to predict how they will perform, and how their peers will perform, on sets of questions. The results indicate that the way experts regard each other is consistent, but unfortunately, ranks are a poor guide to actual performance. Expert advice will be more accurate if technical decisions routinely use broadly-defined expert groups, structured question protocols and feedback. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-10T13:01:52Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-53ba2854d3ef4e2e923455aa7ea14a48 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1932-6203 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-10T13:01:52Z |
| publishDate | 2011-01-01 |
| publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | PLoS ONE |
| spelling | doaj.art-53ba2854d3ef4e2e923455aa7ea14a482022-12-22T01:47:56ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032011-01-0167e2299810.1371/journal.pone.0022998Expert status and performance.Mark A BurgmanMarissa McBrideRaquel AshtonAndrew Speirs-BridgeLouisa FlanderBonnie WintleFiona FidlerLibby RumpffCharles TwardyExpert judgements are essential when time and resources are stretched or we face novel dilemmas requiring fast solutions. Good advice can save lives and large sums of money. Typically, experts are defined by their qualifications, track record and experience. The social expectation hypothesis argues that more highly regarded and more experienced experts will give better advice. We asked experts to predict how they will perform, and how their peers will perform, on sets of questions. The results indicate that the way experts regard each other is consistent, but unfortunately, ranks are a poor guide to actual performance. Expert advice will be more accurate if technical decisions routinely use broadly-defined expert groups, structured question protocols and feedback.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3146531?pdf=render |
| spellingShingle | Mark A Burgman Marissa McBride Raquel Ashton Andrew Speirs-Bridge Louisa Flander Bonnie Wintle Fiona Fidler Libby Rumpff Charles Twardy Expert status and performance. PLoS ONE |
| title | Expert status and performance. |
| title_full | Expert status and performance. |
| title_fullStr | Expert status and performance. |
| title_full_unstemmed | Expert status and performance. |
| title_short | Expert status and performance. |
| title_sort | expert status and performance |
| url | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3146531?pdf=render |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT markaburgman expertstatusandperformance AT marissamcbride expertstatusandperformance AT raquelashton expertstatusandperformance AT andrewspeirsbridge expertstatusandperformance AT louisaflander expertstatusandperformance AT bonniewintle expertstatusandperformance AT fionafidler expertstatusandperformance AT libbyrumpff expertstatusandperformance AT charlestwardy expertstatusandperformance |