Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses

Salt marshes play a crucial role in coastal biogeochemical cycles and provide unique ecosystem services. Salt marsh biomass, which can strongly influence such services, varies over time in response to hydrologic conditions and other environmental drivers. We used gap-filled monthly observations of S...

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Main Authors: Kadir Biçe, John Schalles, Joan E. Sheldon, Merryl Alber, Christof Meile
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1130958/full
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author Kadir Biçe
John Schalles
Joan E. Sheldon
Merryl Alber
Christof Meile
author_facet Kadir Biçe
John Schalles
Joan E. Sheldon
Merryl Alber
Christof Meile
author_sort Kadir Biçe
collection DOAJ
description Salt marshes play a crucial role in coastal biogeochemical cycles and provide unique ecosystem services. Salt marsh biomass, which can strongly influence such services, varies over time in response to hydrologic conditions and other environmental drivers. We used gap-filled monthly observations of Spartina alterniflora aboveground biomass derived from Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 satellite imagery from 1984-2018 to analyze temporal patterns in biomass in comparison to air temperature, precipitation, river discharge, nutrient input, sea level, and drought index for a southeastern US salt marsh. Wavelet analysis and ensemble empirical mode decomposition identified month to multi-year periodicities in both plant biomass and environmental drivers. Wavelet coherence detected cross-correlations between annual biomass cycles and precipitation, temperature, river discharge, nutrient concentrations (NOx and PO43–) and sea level. At longer periods we detected coherence between biomass and all variables except precipitation. Through empirical dynamic modeling we showed that temperature, river discharge, drought, sea level, and river nutrient concentrations were causally connected to salt marsh biomass and exceeded the confounding effect of seasonality. This study demonstrated the insights into biomass dynamics and causal connections that can be gained through the analysis of long-term data.
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spelling doaj.art-53c22d47f7394021b45e7d8757d3d2b62023-04-06T06:15:46ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452023-04-011010.3389/fmars.2023.11309581130958Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analysesKadir Biçe0John Schalles1Joan E. Sheldon2Merryl Alber3Christof Meile4Department of Marine Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United StatesDepartment of Biology, Creighton University, Omaha, NE, United StatesDepartment of Marine Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United StatesDepartment of Marine Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United StatesDepartment of Marine Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, GA, United StatesSalt marshes play a crucial role in coastal biogeochemical cycles and provide unique ecosystem services. Salt marsh biomass, which can strongly influence such services, varies over time in response to hydrologic conditions and other environmental drivers. We used gap-filled monthly observations of Spartina alterniflora aboveground biomass derived from Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 satellite imagery from 1984-2018 to analyze temporal patterns in biomass in comparison to air temperature, precipitation, river discharge, nutrient input, sea level, and drought index for a southeastern US salt marsh. Wavelet analysis and ensemble empirical mode decomposition identified month to multi-year periodicities in both plant biomass and environmental drivers. Wavelet coherence detected cross-correlations between annual biomass cycles and precipitation, temperature, river discharge, nutrient concentrations (NOx and PO43–) and sea level. At longer periods we detected coherence between biomass and all variables except precipitation. Through empirical dynamic modeling we showed that temperature, river discharge, drought, sea level, and river nutrient concentrations were causally connected to salt marsh biomass and exceeded the confounding effect of seasonality. This study demonstrated the insights into biomass dynamics and causal connections that can be gained through the analysis of long-term data.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1130958/fullsalt marshbiomasstime serieswaveletcausality
spellingShingle Kadir Biçe
John Schalles
Joan E. Sheldon
Merryl Alber
Christof Meile
Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses
Frontiers in Marine Science
salt marsh
biomass
time series
wavelet
causality
title Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses
title_full Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses
title_fullStr Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses
title_full_unstemmed Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses
title_short Temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland: Insights from time-series analyses
title_sort temporal patterns and causal drivers of aboveground plant biomass in a coastal wetland insights from time series analyses
topic salt marsh
biomass
time series
wavelet
causality
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1130958/full
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AT johnschalles temporalpatternsandcausaldriversofabovegroundplantbiomassinacoastalwetlandinsightsfromtimeseriesanalyses
AT joanesheldon temporalpatternsandcausaldriversofabovegroundplantbiomassinacoastalwetlandinsightsfromtimeseriesanalyses
AT merrylalber temporalpatternsandcausaldriversofabovegroundplantbiomassinacoastalwetlandinsightsfromtimeseriesanalyses
AT christofmeile temporalpatternsandcausaldriversofabovegroundplantbiomassinacoastalwetlandinsightsfromtimeseriesanalyses