How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?

Identifying the animal reservoirs from which zoonotic viruses will likely emerge is central to understanding the determinants of disease emergence. Accordingly, there has been an increase in studies attempting zoonotic "risk assessment." Herein, we demonstrate that the virological data on...

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Main Authors: Michelle Wille, Jemma L Geoghegan, Edward C Holmes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021-04-01
Series:PLoS Biology
Online Access:https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.3001135&type=printable
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author Michelle Wille
Jemma L Geoghegan
Edward C Holmes
author_facet Michelle Wille
Jemma L Geoghegan
Edward C Holmes
author_sort Michelle Wille
collection DOAJ
description Identifying the animal reservoirs from which zoonotic viruses will likely emerge is central to understanding the determinants of disease emergence. Accordingly, there has been an increase in studies attempting zoonotic "risk assessment." Herein, we demonstrate that the virological data on which these analyses are conducted are incomplete, biased, and rapidly changing with ongoing virus discovery. Together, these shortcomings suggest that attempts to assess zoonotic risk using available virological data are likely to be inaccurate and largely only identify those host taxa that have been studied most extensively. We suggest that virus surveillance at the human-animal interface may be more productive.
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spelling doaj.art-53d32b35ca6c4d43baf2dd9b9eba6f952025-03-03T05:30:51ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Biology1544-91731545-78852021-04-01194e300113510.1371/journal.pbio.3001135How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?Michelle WilleJemma L GeogheganEdward C HolmesIdentifying the animal reservoirs from which zoonotic viruses will likely emerge is central to understanding the determinants of disease emergence. Accordingly, there has been an increase in studies attempting zoonotic "risk assessment." Herein, we demonstrate that the virological data on which these analyses are conducted are incomplete, biased, and rapidly changing with ongoing virus discovery. Together, these shortcomings suggest that attempts to assess zoonotic risk using available virological data are likely to be inaccurate and largely only identify those host taxa that have been studied most extensively. We suggest that virus surveillance at the human-animal interface may be more productive.https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.3001135&type=printable
spellingShingle Michelle Wille
Jemma L Geoghegan
Edward C Holmes
How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?
PLoS Biology
title How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?
title_full How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?
title_fullStr How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?
title_full_unstemmed How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?
title_short How accurately can we assess zoonotic risk?
title_sort how accurately can we assess zoonotic risk
url https://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.3001135&type=printable
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AT jemmalgeoghegan howaccuratelycanweassesszoonoticrisk
AT edwardcholmes howaccuratelycanweassesszoonoticrisk