Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort

The association between exacerbation aetiology and exacerbation frequency is poorly understood. We analysed 2-year follow-up data from a prospective observational study of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (www.clinicaltrials.gov identifier number NCT01360398) to evaluate ye...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tom M.A. Wilkinson, Emmanuel Aris, Simon C. Bourne, Stuart C. Clarke, Mathieu Peeters, Thierry G. Pascal, Laura Taddei, Andrew C. Tuck, Viktoriya L. Kim, Kristoffer K. Ostridge, Karl J. Staples, Nicholas P. Williams, Anthony P. Williams, Stephen A. Wootton, Jeanne-Marie Devaster, The AERIS Study Group:, J. Alnajar, R. Anderson, E. Aris, W.R. Ballou, A. Barton, S. Bourne, M. Caubet, S.C. Clarke, D. Cleary, C. Cohet, N.A. Coombs, K. Cox, J-M. Devaster, V. Devine, N. Devos, E. Dineen, T. Elliott, R. Gladstone, S. Harden, J. Jefferies, V.L. Kim, P. Moris, K.K. Ostridge, T.G. Pascal, M. Peeters, B. Sente, S. Schoonbroodt, K.J. Staples, A.C. Tuck, L. Welch, V. Weynants, T.M.A. Wilkinson, A.P. Williams, N.P. Williams, C. Woelk, M. Wojtas, S.A. Wootton
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: European Respiratory Society 2019-02-01
Series:ERJ Open Research
Online Access:http://openres.ersjournals.com/content/5/1/00248-2018.full
_version_ 1828372723079839744
author Tom M.A. Wilkinson
Emmanuel Aris
Simon C. Bourne
Stuart C. Clarke
Mathieu Peeters
Thierry G. Pascal
Laura Taddei
Andrew C. Tuck
Viktoriya L. Kim
Kristoffer K. Ostridge
Karl J. Staples
Nicholas P. Williams
Anthony P. Williams
Stephen A. Wootton
Jeanne-Marie Devaster
The AERIS Study Group:
J. Alnajar
R. Anderson
E. Aris
W.R. Ballou
A. Barton
S. Bourne
M. Caubet
S.C. Clarke
D. Cleary
C. Cohet
N.A. Coombs
K. Cox
J-M. Devaster
V. Devine
N. Devos
E. Dineen
T. Elliott
R. Gladstone
S. Harden
J. Jefferies
V.L. Kim
P. Moris
K.K. Ostridge
T.G. Pascal
M. Peeters
B. Sente
S. Schoonbroodt
K.J. Staples
A.C. Tuck
L. Welch
V. Weynants
T.M.A. Wilkinson
A.P. Williams
N.P. Williams
C. Woelk
M. Wojtas
S.A. Wootton
author_facet Tom M.A. Wilkinson
Emmanuel Aris
Simon C. Bourne
Stuart C. Clarke
Mathieu Peeters
Thierry G. Pascal
Laura Taddei
Andrew C. Tuck
Viktoriya L. Kim
Kristoffer K. Ostridge
Karl J. Staples
Nicholas P. Williams
Anthony P. Williams
Stephen A. Wootton
Jeanne-Marie Devaster
The AERIS Study Group:
J. Alnajar
R. Anderson
E. Aris
W.R. Ballou
A. Barton
S. Bourne
M. Caubet
S.C. Clarke
D. Cleary
C. Cohet
N.A. Coombs
K. Cox
J-M. Devaster
V. Devine
N. Devos
E. Dineen
T. Elliott
R. Gladstone
S. Harden
J. Jefferies
V.L. Kim
P. Moris
K.K. Ostridge
T.G. Pascal
M. Peeters
B. Sente
S. Schoonbroodt
K.J. Staples
A.C. Tuck
L. Welch
V. Weynants
T.M.A. Wilkinson
A.P. Williams
N.P. Williams
C. Woelk
M. Wojtas
S.A. Wootton
author_sort Tom M.A. Wilkinson
collection DOAJ
description The association between exacerbation aetiology and exacerbation frequency is poorly understood. We analysed 2-year follow-up data from a prospective observational study of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (www.clinicaltrials.gov identifier number NCT01360398) to evaluate year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency and related aetiology. A total of 127 patients underwent blood and sputum sampling monthly and at exacerbation to detect respiratory infections and eosinophilic inflammation; 103 continued into year 2 and 88 completed both years. The most common bacterial species at stable state and exacerbation was Haemophilus influenzae. Among infrequent exacerbators (one exacerbation per year), the incidence of viral infection at exacerbation was high (60.0% (95% CI 35.1–81.7%) in year 1 and 78.6% (53.4–94.2%) in year 2). Those with more frequent exacerbations tended to have higher relative incidence of bacterial than viral infection. Patients with at least two additional exacerbations in year 2 versus year 1 had a higher risk of H. influenzae colonisation at stable state than those with at least two fewer exacerbations, as detected by culture (OR 1.43 (95% CI 0.71–2.91) versus 0.63 (0.40–1.01), p=0.06) and PCR (1.76 (95% CI 0.88–3.51) versus 0.56 (0.37–0.86), p<0.01). This was not seen with other infection types or eosinophilic inflammation. Analysis of the same cohort over 2 years showed, for the first time, that changes in yearly COPD exacerbation rate may be associated with variations in H. influenzae colonisation.
first_indexed 2024-04-14T07:08:06Z
format Article
id doaj.art-540ca4bc52544e00b32d12c320a830b0
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2312-0541
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-14T07:08:06Z
publishDate 2019-02-01
publisher European Respiratory Society
record_format Article
series ERJ Open Research
spelling doaj.art-540ca4bc52544e00b32d12c320a830b02022-12-22T02:06:30ZengEuropean Respiratory SocietyERJ Open Research2312-05412019-02-015110.1183/23120541.00248-201800248-2018Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohortTom M.A. Wilkinson0Emmanuel Aris1Simon C. Bourne2Stuart C. Clarke3Mathieu Peeters4Thierry G. Pascal5Laura Taddei6Andrew C. Tuck7Viktoriya L. Kim8Kristoffer K. Ostridge9Karl J. Staples10Nicholas P. Williams11Anthony P. Williams12Stephen A. Wootton13Jeanne-Marie Devaster14The AERIS Study Group:J. AlnajarR. AndersonE. ArisW.R. BallouA. BartonS. BourneM. CaubetS.C. ClarkeD. ClearyC. CohetN.A. CoombsK. CoxJ-M. DevasterV. DevineN. DevosE. DineenT. ElliottR. GladstoneS. HardenJ. JefferiesV.L. KimP. MorisK.K. OstridgeT.G. PascalM. PeetersB. SenteS. SchoonbroodtK.J. StaplesA.C. TuckL. WelchV. WeynantsT.M.A. WilkinsonA.P. WilliamsN.P. WilliamsC. WoelkM. WojtasS.A. Wootton Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK GSK, Wavre, Belgium Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK GSK, Wavre, Belgium GSK, Wavre, Belgium GSK, Sienna, Italy Faculty of Medicine and Institute for Life Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK Wessex Investigational Sciences Hub, University of Southampton Faculty of Medicine, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton, UK Southampton NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK GSK, Wavre, Belgium The association between exacerbation aetiology and exacerbation frequency is poorly understood. We analysed 2-year follow-up data from a prospective observational study of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (www.clinicaltrials.gov identifier number NCT01360398) to evaluate year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency and related aetiology. A total of 127 patients underwent blood and sputum sampling monthly and at exacerbation to detect respiratory infections and eosinophilic inflammation; 103 continued into year 2 and 88 completed both years. The most common bacterial species at stable state and exacerbation was Haemophilus influenzae. Among infrequent exacerbators (one exacerbation per year), the incidence of viral infection at exacerbation was high (60.0% (95% CI 35.1–81.7%) in year 1 and 78.6% (53.4–94.2%) in year 2). Those with more frequent exacerbations tended to have higher relative incidence of bacterial than viral infection. Patients with at least two additional exacerbations in year 2 versus year 1 had a higher risk of H. influenzae colonisation at stable state than those with at least two fewer exacerbations, as detected by culture (OR 1.43 (95% CI 0.71–2.91) versus 0.63 (0.40–1.01), p=0.06) and PCR (1.76 (95% CI 0.88–3.51) versus 0.56 (0.37–0.86), p<0.01). This was not seen with other infection types or eosinophilic inflammation. Analysis of the same cohort over 2 years showed, for the first time, that changes in yearly COPD exacerbation rate may be associated with variations in H. influenzae colonisation.http://openres.ersjournals.com/content/5/1/00248-2018.full
spellingShingle Tom M.A. Wilkinson
Emmanuel Aris
Simon C. Bourne
Stuart C. Clarke
Mathieu Peeters
Thierry G. Pascal
Laura Taddei
Andrew C. Tuck
Viktoriya L. Kim
Kristoffer K. Ostridge
Karl J. Staples
Nicholas P. Williams
Anthony P. Williams
Stephen A. Wootton
Jeanne-Marie Devaster
The AERIS Study Group:
J. Alnajar
R. Anderson
E. Aris
W.R. Ballou
A. Barton
S. Bourne
M. Caubet
S.C. Clarke
D. Cleary
C. Cohet
N.A. Coombs
K. Cox
J-M. Devaster
V. Devine
N. Devos
E. Dineen
T. Elliott
R. Gladstone
S. Harden
J. Jefferies
V.L. Kim
P. Moris
K.K. Ostridge
T.G. Pascal
M. Peeters
B. Sente
S. Schoonbroodt
K.J. Staples
A.C. Tuck
L. Welch
V. Weynants
T.M.A. Wilkinson
A.P. Williams
N.P. Williams
C. Woelk
M. Wojtas
S.A. Wootton
Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort
ERJ Open Research
title Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort
title_full Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort
title_fullStr Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort
title_full_unstemmed Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort
title_short Drivers of year-to-year variation in exacerbation frequency of COPD: analysis of the AERIS cohort
title_sort drivers of year to year variation in exacerbation frequency of copd analysis of the aeris cohort
url http://openres.ersjournals.com/content/5/1/00248-2018.full
work_keys_str_mv AT tommawilkinson driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT emmanuelaris driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT simoncbourne driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT stuartcclarke driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT mathieupeeters driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT thierrygpascal driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT laurataddei driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT andrewctuck driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT viktoriyalkim driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT kristofferkostridge driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT karljstaples driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT nicholaspwilliams driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT anthonypwilliams driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT stephenawootton driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT jeannemariedevaster driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT theaerisstudygroup driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT jalnajar driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT randerson driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT earis driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT wrballou driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT abarton driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT sbourne driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT mcaubet driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT scclarke driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT dcleary driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT ccohet driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT nacoombs driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT kcox driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT jmdevaster driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT vdevine driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT ndevos driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT edineen driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT telliott driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT rgladstone driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT sharden driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT jjefferies driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT vlkim driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT pmoris driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT kkostridge driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT tgpascal driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT mpeeters driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT bsente driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT sschoonbroodt driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT kjstaples driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT actuck driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT lwelch driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT vweynants driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT tmawilkinson driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT apwilliams driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT npwilliams driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT cwoelk driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT mwojtas driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort
AT sawootton driversofyeartoyearvariationinexacerbationfrequencyofcopdanalysisoftheaeriscohort