City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set

In city traffic management, traffic breakdown is a very important issue, which is defined as a speed drop of a certain amount within a dense traffic situation. In order to predict city traffic flow breakdown accurately, in this paper, we propose a novel city traffic flow breakdown prediction algorit...

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Main Authors: Yang Xu, Da-wei Hu, Bing Su, Duo-jia Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2017-05-01
Series:Open Physics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/phys-2017-0032
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author Yang Xu
Da-wei Hu
Bing Su
Duo-jia Zhang
author_facet Yang Xu
Da-wei Hu
Bing Su
Duo-jia Zhang
author_sort Yang Xu
collection DOAJ
description In city traffic management, traffic breakdown is a very important issue, which is defined as a speed drop of a certain amount within a dense traffic situation. In order to predict city traffic flow breakdown accurately, in this paper, we propose a novel city traffic flow breakdown prediction algorithm based on fuzzy rough set. Firstly, we illustrate the city traffic flow breakdown problem, in which three definitions are given, that is, 1) Pre-breakdown flow rate, 2) Rate, density, and speed of the traffic flow breakdown, and 3) Duration of the traffic flow breakdown. Moreover, we define a hazard function to represent the probability of the breakdown ending at a given time point. Secondly, as there are many redundant and irrelevant attributes in city flow breakdown prediction, we propose an attribute reduction algorithm using the fuzzy rough set. Thirdly, we discuss how to predict the city traffic flow breakdown based on attribute reduction and SVM classifier. Finally, experiments are conducted by collecting data from I-405 Freeway, which is located at Irvine, California. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm is able to achieve lower average error rate of city traffic flow breakdown prediction.
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spelling doaj.art-543ad643f5494f9fbc77d571ca2390192022-12-21T21:34:24ZengDe GruyterOpen Physics2391-54712017-05-0115129229910.1515/phys-2017-0032phys-2017-0032City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough setYang Xu0Da-wei Hu1Bing Su2Duo-jia Zhang3School of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an710064, ChinaSchool of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an710064, ChinaSchool of Economics & Management, Xi’an Technological University, Xi’an710021, ChinaSchool of Automobile, Chang’an University, Xi’an710064, ChinaIn city traffic management, traffic breakdown is a very important issue, which is defined as a speed drop of a certain amount within a dense traffic situation. In order to predict city traffic flow breakdown accurately, in this paper, we propose a novel city traffic flow breakdown prediction algorithm based on fuzzy rough set. Firstly, we illustrate the city traffic flow breakdown problem, in which three definitions are given, that is, 1) Pre-breakdown flow rate, 2) Rate, density, and speed of the traffic flow breakdown, and 3) Duration of the traffic flow breakdown. Moreover, we define a hazard function to represent the probability of the breakdown ending at a given time point. Secondly, as there are many redundant and irrelevant attributes in city flow breakdown prediction, we propose an attribute reduction algorithm using the fuzzy rough set. Thirdly, we discuss how to predict the city traffic flow breakdown based on attribute reduction and SVM classifier. Finally, experiments are conducted by collecting data from I-405 Freeway, which is located at Irvine, California. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm is able to achieve lower average error rate of city traffic flow breakdown prediction.https://doi.org/10.1515/phys-2017-0032traffic managementtraffic flow breakdownfuzzy rough setsvmfuzzy decision table06.20.dk
spellingShingle Yang Xu
Da-wei Hu
Bing Su
Duo-jia Zhang
City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
Open Physics
traffic management
traffic flow breakdown
fuzzy rough set
svm
fuzzy decision table
06.20.dk
title City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
title_full City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
title_fullStr City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
title_full_unstemmed City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
title_short City traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
title_sort city traffic flow breakdown prediction based on fuzzy rough set
topic traffic management
traffic flow breakdown
fuzzy rough set
svm
fuzzy decision table
06.20.dk
url https://doi.org/10.1515/phys-2017-0032
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AT duojiazhang citytrafficflowbreakdownpredictionbasedonfuzzyroughset