Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning

One of the primary aims of China’s territory spatial planning is to control the urban sprawl of local municipals and prevent regional competition and the negative consequences on the environment—which emphasizes the top-down spatial regulation. Indeed, the traditional cellular automaton (CA) model s...

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Main Authors: Siyu Miao, Yang Xiao, Ling Tang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/12/2210
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author Siyu Miao
Yang Xiao
Ling Tang
author_facet Siyu Miao
Yang Xiao
Ling Tang
author_sort Siyu Miao
collection DOAJ
description One of the primary aims of China’s territory spatial planning is to control the urban sprawl of local municipals and prevent regional competition and the negative consequences on the environment—which emphasizes the top-down spatial regulation. Indeed, the traditional cellular automaton (CA) model still has limitations when applied to the whole administration area since it may ignore the differences among cities and towns. Thus, this paper proposed a CM-CA (clustering, multi-level logit regression, integrated with cellular automaton) framework to simulate urban growth boundaries for cities and towns simultaneously. The significant novelty of this framework is to integrate several urban growth modes for all cities and towns. We applied our approach to the city of Xi’an, China, and the results showed satisfactory simulation accuracy of a CM-CA model for multiple cities and towns, and the clusters’ effects contributed 74% of the land change variance. Our study provides technical support for urban growth boundary delineation in China’s spatial planning.
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spelling doaj.art-5450278b0f204f6199aee91c672697802023-11-24T16:07:16ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2022-12-011112221010.3390/land11122210Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial PlanningSiyu Miao0Yang Xiao1Ling Tang2College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, ChinaCollege of Architecture and Urban Planning, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, ChinaDongguan Geographic Information and Planning Research Center, Dongguan 523129, ChinaOne of the primary aims of China’s territory spatial planning is to control the urban sprawl of local municipals and prevent regional competition and the negative consequences on the environment—which emphasizes the top-down spatial regulation. Indeed, the traditional cellular automaton (CA) model still has limitations when applied to the whole administration area since it may ignore the differences among cities and towns. Thus, this paper proposed a CM-CA (clustering, multi-level logit regression, integrated with cellular automaton) framework to simulate urban growth boundaries for cities and towns simultaneously. The significant novelty of this framework is to integrate several urban growth modes for all cities and towns. We applied our approach to the city of Xi’an, China, and the results showed satisfactory simulation accuracy of a CM-CA model for multiple cities and towns, and the clusters’ effects contributed 74% of the land change variance. Our study provides technical support for urban growth boundary delineation in China’s spatial planning.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/12/2210urban growth boundaryclusteringmulti-level logit regressioncellular automatonurban simulation models
spellingShingle Siyu Miao
Yang Xiao
Ling Tang
Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning
Land
urban growth boundary
clustering
multi-level logit regression
cellular automaton
urban simulation models
title Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning
title_full Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning
title_fullStr Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning
title_full_unstemmed Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning
title_short Urban Growth Simulation Based on a Multi-Dimension Classification of Growth Types: Implications for China’s Territory Spatial Planning
title_sort urban growth simulation based on a multi dimension classification of growth types implications for china s territory spatial planning
topic urban growth boundary
clustering
multi-level logit regression
cellular automaton
urban simulation models
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/12/2210
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AT yangxiao urbangrowthsimulationbasedonamultidimensionclassificationofgrowthtypesimplicationsforchinasterritoryspatialplanning
AT lingtang urbangrowthsimulationbasedonamultidimensionclassificationofgrowthtypesimplicationsforchinasterritoryspatialplanning