Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network

Introduction: Pancreatitis is a potentially lethal adverse event of endoscopic transpapillary placement of a self-expandable metal stent (SEMS) for malignant biliary obstruction (MBO). Deep learning-based image recognition has not been investigated in predicting pancreatitis in this setting. Method...

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Main Authors: Tsuyoshi Hamada, Koichiro Yasaka, Yousuke Nakai, Rintaro Fukuda, Ryunosuke Hakuta, Kazunaga Ishigaki, Sachiko Kanai, Kensaku Noguchi, Hiroki Oyama, Tomotaka Saito, Tatsuya Sato, Tatsunori Suzuki, Naminatsu Takahara, Hiroyuki Isayama, Osamu Abe, Mitsuhiro Fujishiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Georg Thieme Verlag KG
Series:Endoscopy International Open
Online Access:http://www.thieme-connect.de/DOI/DOI?10.1055/a-2298-0147
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author Tsuyoshi Hamada
Koichiro Yasaka
Yousuke Nakai
Rintaro Fukuda
Ryunosuke Hakuta
Kazunaga Ishigaki
Sachiko Kanai
Kensaku Noguchi
Hiroki Oyama
Tomotaka Saito
Tatsuya Sato
Tatsunori Suzuki
Naminatsu Takahara
Hiroyuki Isayama
Osamu Abe
Mitsuhiro Fujishiro
author_facet Tsuyoshi Hamada
Koichiro Yasaka
Yousuke Nakai
Rintaro Fukuda
Ryunosuke Hakuta
Kazunaga Ishigaki
Sachiko Kanai
Kensaku Noguchi
Hiroki Oyama
Tomotaka Saito
Tatsuya Sato
Tatsunori Suzuki
Naminatsu Takahara
Hiroyuki Isayama
Osamu Abe
Mitsuhiro Fujishiro
author_sort Tsuyoshi Hamada
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Pancreatitis is a potentially lethal adverse event of endoscopic transpapillary placement of a self-expandable metal stent (SEMS) for malignant biliary obstruction (MBO). Deep learning-based image recognition has not been investigated in predicting pancreatitis in this setting. Methods: We included 70 patients who received endoscopic placement of a SEMS for nonresectable distal MBO. We constructed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model for pancreatitis prediction using a series of preprocedural computed tomography images covering the whole pancreas (≥ 120,960 augmented images in total). We examined the additional effects of the CNN-based probabilities on the following machine learning models based on clinical parameters: logistic regression, support vector machine with a linear or RBF kernel, random forest classifier, and gradient boosting classifier. Model performance was assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic analysis, positive predictive value (PPV), accuracy, and specificity. Results: The CNN model was associated with moderate levels of performance metrics: AUC, 0.67; PPV, 0.45; accuracy, 0.66; and specificity, 0.63. When added to the machine learning models, the CNN-based probabilities increased the performance metrics. The logistic regression model with the CNN-based probabilities had an AUC of 0.74, PPV of 0.85, accuracy of 0.83, and specificity of 0.96, compared to 0.72, 0.78, 0.77, and 0.96, respectively, without the probabilities. Conclusions: The CNN-based model may increase the predictability for pancreatitis following endoscopic placement of a biliary SEMS. Our findings support the potential of deep learning technology in improving prognostic models in pancreatobiliary therapeutic endoscopy.
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spelling doaj.art-54f7e52ddac64e2aab0cac5849c2873d2024-04-02T23:49:18ZengGeorg Thieme Verlag KGEndoscopy International Open2364-37222196-973610.1055/a-2298-0147Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural networkTsuyoshi Hamada0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3937-2755Koichiro Yasaka1Yousuke Nakai2https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7411-1385Rintaro Fukuda3Ryunosuke Hakuta4Kazunaga Ishigaki5Sachiko Kanai6Kensaku Noguchi7Hiroki Oyama8Tomotaka Saito9Tatsuya Sato10Tatsunori Suzuki11Naminatsu Takahara12Hiroyuki Isayama13https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6206-9236Osamu Abe14Mitsuhiro Fujishiro15Gastroenterology, The University of TokyoRadiology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanEndoscopy and Endoscopic Surgery, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, Juntendo University, Bunkyo-ku, JapanRadiology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanGastroenterology, The University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, JapanIntroduction: Pancreatitis is a potentially lethal adverse event of endoscopic transpapillary placement of a self-expandable metal stent (SEMS) for malignant biliary obstruction (MBO). Deep learning-based image recognition has not been investigated in predicting pancreatitis in this setting. Methods: We included 70 patients who received endoscopic placement of a SEMS for nonresectable distal MBO. We constructed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model for pancreatitis prediction using a series of preprocedural computed tomography images covering the whole pancreas (≥ 120,960 augmented images in total). We examined the additional effects of the CNN-based probabilities on the following machine learning models based on clinical parameters: logistic regression, support vector machine with a linear or RBF kernel, random forest classifier, and gradient boosting classifier. Model performance was assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC) in the receiver operating characteristic analysis, positive predictive value (PPV), accuracy, and specificity. Results: The CNN model was associated with moderate levels of performance metrics: AUC, 0.67; PPV, 0.45; accuracy, 0.66; and specificity, 0.63. When added to the machine learning models, the CNN-based probabilities increased the performance metrics. The logistic regression model with the CNN-based probabilities had an AUC of 0.74, PPV of 0.85, accuracy of 0.83, and specificity of 0.96, compared to 0.72, 0.78, 0.77, and 0.96, respectively, without the probabilities. Conclusions: The CNN-based model may increase the predictability for pancreatitis following endoscopic placement of a biliary SEMS. Our findings support the potential of deep learning technology in improving prognostic models in pancreatobiliary therapeutic endoscopy.http://www.thieme-connect.de/DOI/DOI?10.1055/a-2298-0147
spellingShingle Tsuyoshi Hamada
Koichiro Yasaka
Yousuke Nakai
Rintaro Fukuda
Ryunosuke Hakuta
Kazunaga Ishigaki
Sachiko Kanai
Kensaku Noguchi
Hiroki Oyama
Tomotaka Saito
Tatsuya Sato
Tatsunori Suzuki
Naminatsu Takahara
Hiroyuki Isayama
Osamu Abe
Mitsuhiro Fujishiro
Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
Endoscopy International Open
title Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
title_full Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
title_fullStr Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
title_full_unstemmed Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
title_short Computed tomography-based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
title_sort computed tomography based prediction of pancreatitis following biliary metal stent placement with the convolutional neural network
url http://www.thieme-connect.de/DOI/DOI?10.1055/a-2298-0147
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