Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence

Background: The complex nature and heterogeneity involving pituitary surgery results have increased interest in machine learning (ML) applications for prediction of outcomes over the last decade. This study aims to systematically review the characteristics of ML models involving pituitary surgery ou...

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Main Authors: Matheus M. Rech, Leonardo de Macedo Filho, Alexandra J. White, Carlos Perez-Vega, Susan L. Samson, Kaisorn L. Chaichana, Osarenoma U. Olomu, Alfredo Quinones-Hinojosa, Joao Paulo Almeida
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-03-01
Series:Brain Sciences
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3425/13/3/495
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author Matheus M. Rech
Leonardo de Macedo Filho
Alexandra J. White
Carlos Perez-Vega
Susan L. Samson
Kaisorn L. Chaichana
Osarenoma U. Olomu
Alfredo Quinones-Hinojosa
Joao Paulo Almeida
author_facet Matheus M. Rech
Leonardo de Macedo Filho
Alexandra J. White
Carlos Perez-Vega
Susan L. Samson
Kaisorn L. Chaichana
Osarenoma U. Olomu
Alfredo Quinones-Hinojosa
Joao Paulo Almeida
author_sort Matheus M. Rech
collection DOAJ
description Background: The complex nature and heterogeneity involving pituitary surgery results have increased interest in machine learning (ML) applications for prediction of outcomes over the last decade. This study aims to systematically review the characteristics of ML models involving pituitary surgery outcome prediction and assess their reporting quality. Methods: We searched the PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Knowledge databases for publications on the use of ML to predict pituitary surgery outcomes. We used the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) to assess report quality. Our search strategy was based on the terms “artificial intelligence”, “machine learning”, and “pituitary”. Results: 20 studies were included in this review. The principal models reported in each article were post-surgical endocrine outcomes (<i>n</i> = 10), tumor management (<i>n</i> = 3), and intra- and postoperative complications (<i>n</i> = 7). Overall, the included studies adhered to a median of 65% (IQR = 60–72%) of TRIPOD criteria, ranging from 43% to 83%. The median reported AUC was 0.84 (IQR = 0.80–0.91). The most popular algorithms were support vector machine (<i>n</i> = 5) and random forest (<i>n</i> = 5). Only two studies reported external validation and adherence to any reporting guideline. Calibration methods were not reported in 15 studies. No model achieved the phase of actual clinical applicability. Conclusion: Applications of ML in the prediction of pituitary outcomes are still nascent, as evidenced by the lack of any model validated for clinical practice. Although studies have demonstrated promising results, greater transparency in model development and reporting is needed to enable their use in clinical practice. Further adherence to reporting guidelines can help increase AI’s real-world utility and improve clinical practice.
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spelling doaj.art-552a4d33d4004687be8734e278ff144e2023-11-17T10:00:38ZengMDPI AGBrain Sciences2076-34252023-03-0113349510.3390/brainsci13030495Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current EvidenceMatheus M. Rech0Leonardo de Macedo Filho1Alexandra J. White2Carlos Perez-Vega3Susan L. Samson4Kaisorn L. Chaichana5Osarenoma U. Olomu6Alfredo Quinones-Hinojosa7Joao Paulo Almeida8Department of Neurosurgery, University of Caxias do Sul, Caxias do Sul 95070-560, RS, BrazilDepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Cleveland Clinic Lerner College of Medicine of Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, OH 44195, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USADepartment of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic Florida, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USABackground: The complex nature and heterogeneity involving pituitary surgery results have increased interest in machine learning (ML) applications for prediction of outcomes over the last decade. This study aims to systematically review the characteristics of ML models involving pituitary surgery outcome prediction and assess their reporting quality. Methods: We searched the PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Knowledge databases for publications on the use of ML to predict pituitary surgery outcomes. We used the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) to assess report quality. Our search strategy was based on the terms “artificial intelligence”, “machine learning”, and “pituitary”. Results: 20 studies were included in this review. The principal models reported in each article were post-surgical endocrine outcomes (<i>n</i> = 10), tumor management (<i>n</i> = 3), and intra- and postoperative complications (<i>n</i> = 7). Overall, the included studies adhered to a median of 65% (IQR = 60–72%) of TRIPOD criteria, ranging from 43% to 83%. The median reported AUC was 0.84 (IQR = 0.80–0.91). The most popular algorithms were support vector machine (<i>n</i> = 5) and random forest (<i>n</i> = 5). Only two studies reported external validation and adherence to any reporting guideline. Calibration methods were not reported in 15 studies. No model achieved the phase of actual clinical applicability. Conclusion: Applications of ML in the prediction of pituitary outcomes are still nascent, as evidenced by the lack of any model validated for clinical practice. Although studies have demonstrated promising results, greater transparency in model development and reporting is needed to enable their use in clinical practice. Further adherence to reporting guidelines can help increase AI’s real-world utility and improve clinical practice.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3425/13/3/495artificial intelligencemachine learningoutcomespituitary adenomaadenomaacromegaly
spellingShingle Matheus M. Rech
Leonardo de Macedo Filho
Alexandra J. White
Carlos Perez-Vega
Susan L. Samson
Kaisorn L. Chaichana
Osarenoma U. Olomu
Alfredo Quinones-Hinojosa
Joao Paulo Almeida
Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence
Brain Sciences
artificial intelligence
machine learning
outcomes
pituitary adenoma
adenoma
acromegaly
title Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence
title_full Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence
title_fullStr Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence
title_full_unstemmed Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence
title_short Machine Learning Models to Forecast Outcomes of Pituitary Surgery: A Systematic Review in Quality of Reporting and Current Evidence
title_sort machine learning models to forecast outcomes of pituitary surgery a systematic review in quality of reporting and current evidence
topic artificial intelligence
machine learning
outcomes
pituitary adenoma
adenoma
acromegaly
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3425/13/3/495
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