Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)

The characteristics of the drought propagation from meteorological drought (MD) to agricultural drought (AD) differ in various climatic and underlying surface conditions. However, how these factors affect the process of drought propagation is still unclear. In this study, drought propagation and inf...

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Main Authors: Chong Li, Xuan Zhang, Guodong Yin, Yang Xu, Fanghua Hao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-07-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/14/3307
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author Chong Li
Xuan Zhang
Guodong Yin
Yang Xu
Fanghua Hao
author_facet Chong Li
Xuan Zhang
Guodong Yin
Yang Xu
Fanghua Hao
author_sort Chong Li
collection DOAJ
description The characteristics of the drought propagation from meteorological drought (MD) to agricultural drought (AD) differ in various climatic and underlying surface conditions. However, how these factors affect the process of drought propagation is still unclear. In this study, drought propagation and influencing factors were investigated in an arid region of Northeast Asia (ARNA) during 1982–2014. Based on run theory, the drought characteristics were detected using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized soil moisture index (SMI), respectively. The propagation time from MD to AD was investigated, and the influence factors were identified. Results demonstrated that five clusters (C1–C5) based on land cover distribution were further classified by the K-means cluster algorithm to discuss the spatial and seasonal propagation variation. MD and AD in ARNA became more severe during the study period in all five clusters. The propagation times from MD to AD in all five clusters were shorter (1–3 months) in summer and autumn and longer (5–12 months) in spring and winter. This result suggested that the impact of vegetation on the seasonal drought propagation time was more obvious than that of the spatial drought propagation time. Precipitation and vegetation were the major impactors of AD in spring, summer and autumn (<i>p</i> < 0.05). The impact of precipitation on AD was more noticeable in summer, while vegetation mainly influenced AD in spring and autumn. The research also found that drought propagation time had a negative relationship (<i>p</i> < 0.05) with precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture and NDVI in this region, which indicated that a rapid hydrological cycle and vegetation can shorten the propagation time from MD to AD. This study can help researchers to understand the drought propagation process and the driving factors to enhance the efficiency of drought forecasting.
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spelling doaj.art-5542d80e3da0480292d25c12efbab3582023-11-30T21:48:39ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922022-07-011414330710.3390/rs14143307Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)Chong Li0Xuan Zhang1Guodong Yin2Yang Xu3Fanghua Hao4Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaBeijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaBeijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaBeijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaThe characteristics of the drought propagation from meteorological drought (MD) to agricultural drought (AD) differ in various climatic and underlying surface conditions. However, how these factors affect the process of drought propagation is still unclear. In this study, drought propagation and influencing factors were investigated in an arid region of Northeast Asia (ARNA) during 1982–2014. Based on run theory, the drought characteristics were detected using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized soil moisture index (SMI), respectively. The propagation time from MD to AD was investigated, and the influence factors were identified. Results demonstrated that five clusters (C1–C5) based on land cover distribution were further classified by the K-means cluster algorithm to discuss the spatial and seasonal propagation variation. MD and AD in ARNA became more severe during the study period in all five clusters. The propagation times from MD to AD in all five clusters were shorter (1–3 months) in summer and autumn and longer (5–12 months) in spring and winter. This result suggested that the impact of vegetation on the seasonal drought propagation time was more obvious than that of the spatial drought propagation time. Precipitation and vegetation were the major impactors of AD in spring, summer and autumn (<i>p</i> < 0.05). The impact of precipitation on AD was more noticeable in summer, while vegetation mainly influenced AD in spring and autumn. The research also found that drought propagation time had a negative relationship (<i>p</i> < 0.05) with precipitation, evapotranspiration, soil moisture and NDVI in this region, which indicated that a rapid hydrological cycle and vegetation can shorten the propagation time from MD to AD. This study can help researchers to understand the drought propagation process and the driving factors to enhance the efficiency of drought forecasting.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/14/3307drought propagationmeteorological droughtagricultural droughtGLDASK-means clustering
spellingShingle Chong Li
Xuan Zhang
Guodong Yin
Yang Xu
Fanghua Hao
Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)
Remote Sensing
drought propagation
meteorological drought
agricultural drought
GLDAS
K-means clustering
title Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)
title_full Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)
title_fullStr Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)
title_short Evaluation of Drought Propagation Characteristics and Influencing Factors in an Arid Region of Northeast Asia (ARNA)
title_sort evaluation of drought propagation characteristics and influencing factors in an arid region of northeast asia arna
topic drought propagation
meteorological drought
agricultural drought
GLDAS
K-means clustering
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/14/14/3307
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