Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving

In stochastic claims reserving, state space models have been used for almost 40 years to forecast loss reserves and to compute their mean squared error of prediction. Although state space models and the associated Kalman filter learning algorithms are very powerful and flexible tools, comparatively...

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Main Authors: Nataliya Chukhrova, Arne Johannssen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-06-01
Series:Risks
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/6/112
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author Nataliya Chukhrova
Arne Johannssen
author_facet Nataliya Chukhrova
Arne Johannssen
author_sort Nataliya Chukhrova
collection DOAJ
description In stochastic claims reserving, state space models have been used for almost 40 years to forecast loss reserves and to compute their mean squared error of prediction. Although state space models and the associated Kalman filter learning algorithms are very powerful and flexible tools, comparatively few articles on this topic were published during this period. Most recently, several articles have been published which highlight the benefits of state space models in stochastic claims reserving and may lead to a significant increase in its popularity for applications in actuarial practice. To further emphasize the merits of these papers, this commentary highlights various additional aspects that are useful for practical applications and offer some fruitful directions for future research.
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spelling doaj.art-557eec4ca5fa483a94c6f9fe7170ea8b2023-11-21T23:00:49ZengMDPI AGRisks2227-90912021-06-019611210.3390/risks9060112Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims ReservingNataliya Chukhrova0Arne Johannssen1Faculty of Business Administration, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, GermanyFaculty of Business Administration, University of Hamburg, 20146 Hamburg, GermanyIn stochastic claims reserving, state space models have been used for almost 40 years to forecast loss reserves and to compute their mean squared error of prediction. Although state space models and the associated Kalman filter learning algorithms are very powerful and flexible tools, comparatively few articles on this topic were published during this period. Most recently, several articles have been published which highlight the benefits of state space models in stochastic claims reserving and may lead to a significant increase in its popularity for applications in actuarial practice. To further emphasize the merits of these papers, this commentary highlights various additional aspects that are useful for practical applications and offer some fruitful directions for future research.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/6/112adaptive learningdependence modelingevolutionary modelsinsuranceKalman filtermachine learning
spellingShingle Nataliya Chukhrova
Arne Johannssen
Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving
Risks
adaptive learning
dependence modeling
evolutionary models
insurance
Kalman filter
machine learning
title Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving
title_full Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving
title_fullStr Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving
title_full_unstemmed Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving
title_short Kalman Filter Learning Algorithms and State Space Representations for Stochastic Claims Reserving
title_sort kalman filter learning algorithms and state space representations for stochastic claims reserving
topic adaptive learning
dependence modeling
evolutionary models
insurance
Kalman filter
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/9/6/112
work_keys_str_mv AT nataliyachukhrova kalmanfilterlearningalgorithmsandstatespacerepresentationsforstochasticclaimsreserving
AT arnejohannssen kalmanfilterlearningalgorithmsandstatespacerepresentationsforstochasticclaimsreserving