Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society

The goal of this paper is to assess the weight of fraudulent claim payments of DPVAT insurance by the insurer Líder, a consortium of private insurers who manage this product. Using the Actuarial Credibility Theory, and a official database, the discrepancy between the DPVAT claims ratio and the claim...

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Main Authors: Beatriz Peres Lopes, João Vinícius França Carvalho
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: FUCAPE Business School 2022-01-01
Series:BBR: Brazilian Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123075330005
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author Beatriz Peres Lopes
João Vinícius França Carvalho
author_facet Beatriz Peres Lopes
João Vinícius França Carvalho
author_sort Beatriz Peres Lopes
collection DOAJ
description The goal of this paper is to assess the weight of fraudulent claim payments of DPVAT insurance by the insurer Líder, a consortium of private insurers who manage this product. Using the Actuarial Credibility Theory, and a official database, the discrepancy between the DPVAT claims ratio and the claims ratios of other private automobile insurance lines of business, proxies for the ideal premium formation for having better system of frauds detection and prevention. The results indicate significant differences among the values. Additionally, in two counterfactual scenarios, it was estimated: (i) what would be the value of the DPVAT premium in case the fraud effects were purged, aiming to analyze whether the verified heterogeneity could be explained by the volume of proven frauds; (ii) the financial volume that could potentially be saved by society in case the frauds were subtracted since 2006. It is possible to affirm that not only would the DPVAT’s claims ratio be reduced, but also the premiums paid by the insured. Finally, the estimates suggest that society could have saved over BRL 15 billion in 14 years.
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spelling doaj.art-5582f23cbe9d4344af53955db058cbe22025-03-10T14:54:59ZengFUCAPE Business SchoolBBR: Brazilian Business Review1807-734X2022-01-01196666684http://dx.doi.org/10.15728/bbr.2022.19.6.5.ptPaying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on societyBeatriz Peres LopesJoão Vinícius França CarvalhoThe goal of this paper is to assess the weight of fraudulent claim payments of DPVAT insurance by the insurer Líder, a consortium of private insurers who manage this product. Using the Actuarial Credibility Theory, and a official database, the discrepancy between the DPVAT claims ratio and the claims ratios of other private automobile insurance lines of business, proxies for the ideal premium formation for having better system of frauds detection and prevention. The results indicate significant differences among the values. Additionally, in two counterfactual scenarios, it was estimated: (i) what would be the value of the DPVAT premium in case the fraud effects were purged, aiming to analyze whether the verified heterogeneity could be explained by the volume of proven frauds; (ii) the financial volume that could potentially be saved by society in case the frauds were subtracted since 2006. It is possible to affirm that not only would the DPVAT’s claims ratio be reduced, but also the premiums paid by the insured. Finally, the estimates suggest that society could have saved over BRL 15 billion in 14 years.http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123075330005dpvat insurancefraudsclaims ratioactuarial credibility theory
spellingShingle Beatriz Peres Lopes
João Vinícius França Carvalho
Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society
BBR: Brazilian Business Review
dpvat insurance
frauds
claims ratio
actuarial credibility theory
title Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society
title_full Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society
title_fullStr Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society
title_full_unstemmed Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society
title_short Paying for crime: frauds in DPVAT insurance and their impacts on society
title_sort paying for crime frauds in dpvat insurance and their impacts on society
topic dpvat insurance
frauds
claims ratio
actuarial credibility theory
url http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123075330005
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AT joaoviniciusfrancacarvalho payingforcrimefraudsindpvatinsuranceandtheirimpactsonsociety