Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin
The effects of riparian restoration and soil and water conservation practices on catchment hydrology are still unclear. Here, we assess whether a positive change in soil and water conservation practices and riparian reforestation will affect the water availability and boost resilience in a Brazilian...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Elsevier
2021-10-01
|
| Series: | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581821001609 |
| _version_ | 1818602395887730688 |
|---|---|
| author | Paula Prado Siqueira Paulo Tarso S. Oliveira Danielle Bressiani Antonio A. Meira Neto Dulce B.B. Rodrigues |
| author_facet | Paula Prado Siqueira Paulo Tarso S. Oliveira Danielle Bressiani Antonio A. Meira Neto Dulce B.B. Rodrigues |
| author_sort | Paula Prado Siqueira |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The effects of riparian restoration and soil and water conservation practices on catchment hydrology are still unclear. Here, we assess whether a positive change in soil and water conservation practices and riparian reforestation will affect the water availability and boost resilience in a Brazilian Cerrado basin under climate change scenarios. This study was developed in the Três Marias basin (50.600 km²) located in southeastern Brazil. First, we calibrated (1992–2005) and evaluated (2006–2012) the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Then, we created a land cover and land use change (LCLUC) scenario that considers improving soil and water conservation practices and the reforestation of riparian zones, following the recommendations of the Brazilian Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES). We also used the trend SSP2-4.5 and the fossil-based economy SSP5-8.5 (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) climate scenarios data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) project for the period of 2015–2100. Along with a decrease of 5 %–15 % in precipitation in the projected period, an increase of 7 %–15 % in forest areas due to the LCLUC scenarios generated an increase in evapotranspiration values up to 38 %, resulting in a decrease of surface runoff and baseflow. Riparian reforestation and soil and water conservation practices did not necessarily enhance water availability on the simulations performed, as expected by many PES. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-16T13:06:36Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-558b566d69cd45648fb48017ea6ce5b0 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2214-5818 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-16T13:06:36Z |
| publishDate | 2021-10-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
| spelling | doaj.art-558b566d69cd45648fb48017ea6ce5b02022-12-21T22:30:43ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182021-10-0137100931Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basinPaula Prado Siqueira0Paulo Tarso S. Oliveira1Danielle Bressiani2Antonio A. Meira Neto3Dulce B.B. Rodrigues4Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul, CxP. 549, Campo Grande, MS, 79070-900, BrazilFederal University of Mato Grosso do Sul, CxP. 549, Campo Grande, MS, 79070-900, Brazil; Corresponding author.Federal University of Pelotas, Pelotas, RS, 96010-610, BrazilDepartment of Hydrology and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, 85719, USAFederal University of Mato Grosso do Sul, CxP. 549, Campo Grande, MS, 79070-900, BrazilThe effects of riparian restoration and soil and water conservation practices on catchment hydrology are still unclear. Here, we assess whether a positive change in soil and water conservation practices and riparian reforestation will affect the water availability and boost resilience in a Brazilian Cerrado basin under climate change scenarios. This study was developed in the Três Marias basin (50.600 km²) located in southeastern Brazil. First, we calibrated (1992–2005) and evaluated (2006–2012) the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. Then, we created a land cover and land use change (LCLUC) scenario that considers improving soil and water conservation practices and the reforestation of riparian zones, following the recommendations of the Brazilian Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES). We also used the trend SSP2-4.5 and the fossil-based economy SSP5-8.5 (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) climate scenarios data from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) project for the period of 2015–2100. Along with a decrease of 5 %–15 % in precipitation in the projected period, an increase of 7 %–15 % in forest areas due to the LCLUC scenarios generated an increase in evapotranspiration values up to 38 %, resulting in a decrease of surface runoff and baseflow. Riparian reforestation and soil and water conservation practices did not necessarily enhance water availability on the simulations performed, as expected by many PES.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581821001609Climate changeLand cover changeFood-energy-water nexusReforestationWater security |
| spellingShingle | Paula Prado Siqueira Paulo Tarso S. Oliveira Danielle Bressiani Antonio A. Meira Neto Dulce B.B. Rodrigues Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies Climate change Land cover change Food-energy-water nexus Reforestation Water security |
| title | Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin |
| title_full | Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin |
| title_fullStr | Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin |
| title_short | Effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a Brazilian Cerrado basin |
| title_sort | effects of climate and land cover changes on water availability in a brazilian cerrado basin |
| topic | Climate change Land cover change Food-energy-water nexus Reforestation Water security |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581821001609 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT paulapradosiqueira effectsofclimateandlandcoverchangesonwateravailabilityinabraziliancerradobasin AT paulotarsosoliveira effectsofclimateandlandcoverchangesonwateravailabilityinabraziliancerradobasin AT daniellebressiani effectsofclimateandlandcoverchangesonwateravailabilityinabraziliancerradobasin AT antonioameiraneto effectsofclimateandlandcoverchangesonwateravailabilityinabraziliancerradobasin AT dulcebbrodrigues effectsofclimateandlandcoverchangesonwateravailabilityinabraziliancerradobasin |