Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout

Abstract This article presents a study, intending to design a model with 90% reliability, which helps in the prediction of school dropouts in higher and secondary education institutions, implementing machine learning techniques. The collection of information was carried out with open data from the 2...

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Main Authors: Auria Lucia Jiménez-Gutiérrez, Cinthya Ivonne Mota-Hernández, Efrén Mezura-Montes, Rafael Alvarado-Corona
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-53576-1
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author Auria Lucia Jiménez-Gutiérrez
Cinthya Ivonne Mota-Hernández
Efrén Mezura-Montes
Rafael Alvarado-Corona
author_facet Auria Lucia Jiménez-Gutiérrez
Cinthya Ivonne Mota-Hernández
Efrén Mezura-Montes
Rafael Alvarado-Corona
author_sort Auria Lucia Jiménez-Gutiérrez
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This article presents a study, intending to design a model with 90% reliability, which helps in the prediction of school dropouts in higher and secondary education institutions, implementing machine learning techniques. The collection of information was carried out with open data from the 2015 Intercensal Survey and the 2010 and 2020 Population and Housing censuses carried out by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography, which contain information about the inhabitants and homes. in the 32 federal entities of Mexico. The data were homologated and twenty variables were selected, based on the correlation. After cleaning the data, there was a sample of 1,080,782 records in total. Supervised learning was used to create the model, automating data processing with training and testing, applying the following techniques, Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, Linear Ridge and Lasso Regression, Bayesian Optimization, Random Forest, the first two with a reliability greater than 99% and the last with 91%.
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spelling doaj.art-55b33bdf9de846c19661faa0703f1fc92024-03-05T19:12:36ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-02-011411810.1038/s41598-024-53576-1Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropoutAuria Lucia Jiménez-Gutiérrez0Cinthya Ivonne Mota-Hernández1Efrén Mezura-Montes2Rafael Alvarado-Corona3Centro Universitario de los Lagos, Universidad de GuadalajaraUniversidad del Valle de MéxicoInstituto de Investigaciones en Inteligencia Artificial, Universidad VeracruzanaCentro de Estudios Tecnológicos Industrial y de Servicios N°06 “Ignacio Manuel Altamirano” Abstract This article presents a study, intending to design a model with 90% reliability, which helps in the prediction of school dropouts in higher and secondary education institutions, implementing machine learning techniques. The collection of information was carried out with open data from the 2015 Intercensal Survey and the 2010 and 2020 Population and Housing censuses carried out by the National Institute of Statistics and Geography, which contain information about the inhabitants and homes. in the 32 federal entities of Mexico. The data were homologated and twenty variables were selected, based on the correlation. After cleaning the data, there was a sample of 1,080,782 records in total. Supervised learning was used to create the model, automating data processing with training and testing, applying the following techniques, Artificial Neural Networks, Support Vector Machines, Linear Ridge and Lasso Regression, Bayesian Optimization, Random Forest, the first two with a reliability greater than 99% and the last with 91%.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-53576-1
spellingShingle Auria Lucia Jiménez-Gutiérrez
Cinthya Ivonne Mota-Hernández
Efrén Mezura-Montes
Rafael Alvarado-Corona
Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
Scientific Reports
title Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
title_full Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
title_fullStr Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
title_full_unstemmed Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
title_short Application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
title_sort application of the performance of machine learning techniques as support in the prediction of school dropout
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-53576-1
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