Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye

While corporate indebtedness has increased substantially in emerging countries over the last decade, the literature on the negative consequences of this large build-up of debt on real consequences is very limited. In addition, they provide mixed results and suffer from the lack of representativeness...

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Main Author: İbrahim Yarba
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Borsa Istanbul Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845023001357
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author İbrahim Yarba
author_facet İbrahim Yarba
author_sort İbrahim Yarba
collection DOAJ
description While corporate indebtedness has increased substantially in emerging countries over the last decade, the literature on the negative consequences of this large build-up of debt on real consequences is very limited. In addition, they provide mixed results and suffer from the lack of representativeness of their samples, which can be attributed to data availability. Unlike the previous studies, this study investigates the link between corporate indebtedness and investment by utilizing a novel firm-level data covering the universe of all incorporated manufacturing firms in Türkiye over the last decade. The results of the panel regression model with multi-dimensional fixed effects provide significant evidence of an inverted-U relationship between indebtedness and investment, indicating that leverage increases investment up to a certain level, and after that, further increase in leverage has an adverse impact on investment. This non-monotonic relationship is evident for all firm size groups. Conspicuously, the indebtedness level that impedes investment is significantly lower for Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs) than large firms, which supports the arguments that small firms are more likely to be affected by debt overhang. Results also reveal that firms holding more cash can sustain higher levels of debt without hurting investment activity. This is also the case for high capital-intensive firms and exporters. Findings of this paper highlight the importance of policies to make equity financing more attractive, incentivize the uptake and provision of equity capital from private investors, and deepen the capital markets.
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spelling doaj.art-56106094f325466abb6e99dcd67a82692024-02-03T06:35:42ZengElsevierBorsa Istanbul Review2214-84502023-12-0123S75S83Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiyeİbrahim Yarba0Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, Research and Monetary Policy Department, TürkiyeWhile corporate indebtedness has increased substantially in emerging countries over the last decade, the literature on the negative consequences of this large build-up of debt on real consequences is very limited. In addition, they provide mixed results and suffer from the lack of representativeness of their samples, which can be attributed to data availability. Unlike the previous studies, this study investigates the link between corporate indebtedness and investment by utilizing a novel firm-level data covering the universe of all incorporated manufacturing firms in Türkiye over the last decade. The results of the panel regression model with multi-dimensional fixed effects provide significant evidence of an inverted-U relationship between indebtedness and investment, indicating that leverage increases investment up to a certain level, and after that, further increase in leverage has an adverse impact on investment. This non-monotonic relationship is evident for all firm size groups. Conspicuously, the indebtedness level that impedes investment is significantly lower for Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs) than large firms, which supports the arguments that small firms are more likely to be affected by debt overhang. Results also reveal that firms holding more cash can sustain higher levels of debt without hurting investment activity. This is also the case for high capital-intensive firms and exporters. Findings of this paper highlight the importance of policies to make equity financing more attractive, incentivize the uptake and provision of equity capital from private investors, and deepen the capital markets.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845023001357C23D22E22G31G32
spellingShingle İbrahim Yarba
Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye
Borsa Istanbul Review
C23
D22
E22
G31
G32
title Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye
title_full Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye
title_fullStr Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye
title_full_unstemmed Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye
title_short Does the inverted U-shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets? Evidence from Türkiye
title_sort does the inverted u shape between corporate indebtedness and investment hold up for emerging markets evidence from turkiye
topic C23
D22
E22
G31
G32
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845023001357
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